Long-time Centauri Dreams readers will be familiar with the work of Manoj Joshi and Robert Haberle. Back in the 1990s when both were at NASA Ames (Joshi is now at the University of Reading), the scientists went to work on the question of whether planets around red dwarf stars could be habitable, given the problem of close orbits and tidal lock. Simulating the atmosphere of such a planet, they found even a thin atmosphere would circulate globally, moving enough heat to prevent the air on the darkside from freezing out. The prospect of a planet with oceans and a climate mild enough to support life began to look more promising. Joshi and Haberle have a new paper out that looks once again at planets around red dwarfs, this time extending the possible habitable zone to a greater distance from the star. M-class red dwarfs are smaller and cooler than G-class stars like the Sun, and emit a much larger fraction of their radiation at longer wavelengths where the reflectivity of ice and snow...
A Surprise at Lutetia
?Sometimes our spacecraft take us past an asteroid, and other times the asteroid comes to us. Asteroid 2005 YU55 pays Earth a visit soon, closing to a bit less than the distance of the Moon on November 8. The Deep Space Network dish at Goldstone (CA) and the Arecibo facility in Puerto Rico will track the object, with images from Goldstone expected to achieve resolutions as fine as 2 meters per pixel, which should give us a wealth of information about the asteroid’s surface features. About the size of an aircraft carrier, 2005 YU55 was also observed by Arecibo in 2010, when it was found to be roughly spherical in shape with a rotation period of 18 hours. You’ll also recall asteroid 21 Lutetia, which we covered here when the European Space Agency’s Rosetta probe flew past it in July of 2010. The imagery from that encounter showed a cracked and battered surface, but new analysis now indicates that the asteroid may once have had a hot metallic core. Lutetia may, in other words, be a...
New Findings on Eris
Back when I was writing my Centauri Dreams book in 2004, I remember talking to JPL's James Lesh about various aspects of communicating with distant spacecraft. Lesh had written an interesting paper on how we might communicate with an Alpha Centauri probe, and we went on to discuss laser communications in the context of today's Deep Space Network. What stuck in my mind about that conversation was how much we can learn when one thing moves in front of another. Lesh pointed out how useful it is to examine a radio signal when a spacecraft moves behind a planet, studying the attenuation of the signal and learning more about the planet itself. When a celestial object moves in front of a distant star, we also get useful results, as has recently happened in our studies of the dwarf planet Eris. You'll recall that it was Eris that kicked off a new round of controversy about Pluto, for the early estimates were that the diameter of Eris (then thought to be 3000 kilometers) was actually 25...
JWST: The Starshade Option
Imaging an Earth-like planet in the habitable zone may happen some time in the next decade if the James Webb Space Telescope can make its way through its budgetary hurdles and achieve a 2018 liftoff. But the word 'imaging' is a bit deceptive when you consider that we won't be getting anything remotely like the view of a planet in our own Solar System through Webb's instruments. No small disc with discernible features, in other words, but a single dot useful not because of what we can pick out visually, but because we can use its light to take a spectrum. And if we're really lucky, we'll find a dot that's blue and a spectrum that shows the signature of a living world. The JWST works at infrared wavelengths (covering a range from 0.6 to 28 micrometers), which is why shielding it from heat is so important, and why the design is marked by a large sunshield. These wavelengths should allow the instrument to study stars and galaxies from the early universe, but the addition of a starshade...
The Next NASA Sail
Back in August I mentioned NASA's solar sail plans beyond NanoSail-D in the context of a larger survey of sail designs and experimentation. It's great to see multiple sail projects in motion, and before I return to NASA I should mention not only the Planetary Society's ongoing sail effort but the CubeSat sail being built by a consortium from the University of Surrey and aerospace firm Astrium, an aerospace subsidiary of the European Aeronautic Defence and Space Company (EADS). Then there's the German space agency DLR and its Gossamer sails, experimental designs being worked on with the European Space Agency. Surely energized by the success of the Japanese IKAROS sail, work on this fledgeling space technology is beginning to ramp up. NASA's next step in sail design builds upon the earlier work the agency performed with aerospace contractor L'Garde Inc., of Tustin, California, which deployed and tested a 20m X 20m sail at the agency's Plumbrook facility in Ohio. The plan is to build a...
Water Found in Planet-Forming Disc
An orange dwarf star a bit smaller than our Sun is giving us valuable clues about how water-covered planets like Earth may evolve. TW Hydrae is 176 light years away, so young (5 to 10 million years) that it is still in the early stages of forming a planetary system. Working with data from ESA's Herschel space observatory, astronomers have found cold water vapor in the disc of dust and gas that surrounds the star. It's a significant find, because while we've found warmer water vapor in proto-planetary discs closer to their star, we now see evidence for much larger amounts of water in the outer disc, where the material for icy comets is found. Current theory holds that water will be far scarcer in the inner solar nebula around a coalescing system, meaning extensive oceans would have to be delivered by impacting objects from the outer regions. The Herschel data show the distinct signature of water vapor, probably produced when ultraviolet radiation from the central star warms ice-coated...
Project Icarus: Extreme Aerospace Engineering
by K.F.Long, co-founder Project Icarus Kelvin Long is well known to Centauri Dreams readers. The physicist and aerospace engineer is, in addition to being one of the most energetic voices in the service of interstellar propulsion studies, the co-founder of Project Icarus, the successor to the 1970s-era Project Daedalus starship design study. Here Kelvin looks at where the ongoing Icarus effort stands in terms of fusion, placing that propulsion option in the context of the broader questions raised by pushing a payload to the stars. Back in December 2009 I wrote an article titled Project Icarus and the Motivation Behind Fusion Propulsion. This was an attempt to justify the initial design choice of the team as part of the engineering requirements for the study that is Project Icarus. Despite this article and other discussions we have had, we have recently learned something from our experience at the 100 Year Starship Study Symposium: People still don't understand the Daedalus connection...
Comet Storm Around ? Corvi?
Planetary migration can play a huge role in the evolution of a solar system, as witness the thinking that it was a migration of the gas giants Jupiter and Saturn that brought about the Late Heavy Bombardment, a time four billion years ago when impacts from space pock-marked the Moon and inner planets. The migration model, first proposed at the Observatoire de la Côte d'Azur and thus known as the Nice model, posits a long-lasting cometary bombardment caused when gravitational effects of the migration scattered icy bodies in the Kuiper Belt. Most of these would have been ejected from the system, but others would have been sent on planet-intersecting paths. If the Nice model is correct, then we may have an explanation for at least part of the water that wound up on our blue and green planet today, with obvious consequences for the development of life. That makes events similar to the Late Heavy Bombardment of considerable interest when we can find them in other solar systems, and new...
The Joy of Extreme Possibility
Nuclear rocket designs are hardly new. In fact, it was clear as early as the 1950s that conventional chemical rocketry was inefficient, and programs like Project Rover, set up to study the use of nuclear reactors to heat liquid hydrogen for propulsion, aimed at the kind of rockets that could get us beyond the Moon and on to Mars. The NERVA rocket technology (Nuclear Engine for Rocket Vehicle Application) that grew out of all this showed great promise but ran afoul of political and economic issues even as the last Apollo missions were canceled. Nor is the public wariness of nuclear methods likely to vanish soon, yet another hurdle for future ideas. But making people aware of what has done and what could be done is good practice, as Kenneth Chang does by example in his recent piece on the 100 Year Starship Symposium, which bears the optimistic title Not Such a Stretch to Reach for the Stars. In interstellar terms, propulsion is the biggest problem of all. Chang's article suggests a...
Habitable, Not Earth-like
I've put off writing about Wesley Traub's paper on the frequency of planets in the habitable zone because I knew Adam Crowl had reservations about Traub's method. We talked about this at the 100 Year Starship Symposium, which led to Adam's agreeing to writing this piece for Centauri Dreams. How you define a habitable zone is, of course, a critical matter, especially when you're dealing with a topic as compelling as extrasolar planets that can support life. Adam places Traub's work in the context of earlier attempts at defining the habitable zone and finds HZ estimates different from Traub's, though one is surprisingly similar to a much earlier study. by Adam Crowl The recent paper by Wesley Traub [reference below] has estimated the frequency of terrestrial ("Earth-like") planets in the Habitable Zone (HZ) of their stars based on statistical analysis of the recent Kepler data release, but the frequency computed, of ~34(+/-14)% around FGK stars, is dubious due to the assumption of...
Building the Brown Dwarf Census
About a month ago we were looking at the work of Ray Jayawardhana and team on the brown dwarf 2MASS 2139, an interesting case because Jayawardhana (University of Toronto) thinks he has spotted a giant storm raging on the object, or perhaps holes in the cloud deck that allow a glimpse of deeper layers of the atmosphere within. At issue is the striking 30 percent change in brightness of the star within a mere eight hours, seeming to indicate atmospheric changes we can pick up as the brown dwarf rotates. Unlike a normal star, a brown dwarf is hot when young but gradually cools to the point where it has an atmosphere similar to that of a gas giant. All this is part of a survey program called SONYC - Substellar Objects in Nearby Young Clusters - that uses data from the Subaru Telescope in Hawaii and the Very Large Telescope (VLT) in Chile. SONYC may change the way we look at brown dwarfs, and now it is back in the news. The latest word is that the same team has found over two dozen...
Remembering Collier’s and Looking Ahead
We've been talking lately about space missions designed to maximize science vs. those that are at least partly geared toward public relations. But most missions will have both components, the need for public support being woven into the fabric of our ambitions. As we try, then, to ramp up the scientific return, what can we also do to keep the public engaged and instill interest in space exploration? One answer came from Wernher von Braun's massive project for space exploration, described in a series of articles on space presented by Collier's magazine from March of 1952 to April, 1954. Let's put aside all the technical problems of the von Braun concept and concentrate on it as an incentive for space missions. Al Jackson, with whom I enjoyed dinner and several good conversations in Orlando at the 100 Year Starship Symposium, recently sent me The Ugly Spaceship and the Astounding Dream, an article he wrote for the AIAA's Horizons magazine. Al is completely upfront about the fact that...
Huge Mountain Among Early Vesta Results
So much has been happening in recent weeks that I haven't had the chance to keep up with all the stories in the queue, and that's not a bad thing considering that a high level of activity usually means we're learning new and interesting things. Consider the Dawn mission, which has been orbiting the asteroid Vesta since the middle of July. The Dawn team has been sharing results about Vesta in multiple locations, including the European Planetary Science Congress and the Division of Planetary Sciences Joint Meeting 2011 in Nantes and the annual meeting of the Geological Society of America in Minneapolis. As expected, Vesta turns out to be an intriguing place. The image below is a look at Vesta's topography in the southern polar region, with the overall curvature of the tiny world removed, so you're seeing what it would look like on a flat surface. You wouldn't have this view on Vesta because many of the features would wrap around below the horizon, but the image gets across the scale of...
Thoughts on a Different Apollo
Did the Apollo missions produce enough good science to justify their cost? It's a question Freeman Dyson has speculated on in the past, calling the missions a success because they were "conceived and honestly presented to the public as an international sporting event and not as a contribution to science." Symbolic of this is the fact that the first item to be unpacked after each landing was the television camera that relayed mission imagery back to Earth. Apollo inevitably labored under the camera's gaze, but no great scientific discoveries came from it, and the entertainment emphasis inevitably detracted from the missions' scientific objectives. Image: Buzz Aldrin leaves the lunar lander in this photo snapped by Neil Armstrong. What might Apollo have been if it had been conceived from the start to produce good science? Imagine this: Our six Apollo landings put two astronauts each on the surface for a period of several days. At their disposal were two tons of supplies and equipment....
The Snows of Enceladus
Once again it's time to catch up with Enceladus, the little moon that has such a huge impact on the planetary system it moves through. We're learning, for example, how much water vapor is erupting from the features in the moon's south polar region known as the 'tiger stripes.' Cassini measurements (using the Ultraviolet Imaging Spectrograph aboard the spacecraft) had pegged the rate of discharge at 200 kilograms of water vapor every second. New measurements from ESA's Herschel space observatory match up closely to these findings. Saturn's E-ring, formed from plume particles, would dissipate in a few hundred years without discharges like these. You may recall that back in June, Herschel results were announced that showed a huge torus of water vapor circling Saturn itself, one that appeared to be the source of water found in Saturn's upper atmosphere. More than 600,000 kilometers across and 60,000 kilometers thick, the enormous cloud was produced by Enceladus and picked up by...
Updating the 100 Year Starship Symposium
I've got an out of town speaking gig today and am pressed for time, so this may be a good occasion for something I needed to do anyway for the record, which is to highlight the papers given by Tau Zero Foundation and Project Icarus people at the recent 100 Year Starship Symposium. Most of the following were delivered as individual talks, although some were presented in panels. If you're interested in reading the papers each author prepared for the conference, many (but not all, evidently) are to be published in the Journal of the British Interplanetary Society. I'll deliver publishing details when they become available. Here are the presentations of those associated with Tau Zero: E. Davis, "Faster-Than-Light Space Warps, Status and Next Steps" K. Denning, "Inertia of Past Futures" (anthropology) P. Gilster, "The Interstellar Vision: Principles and Practice" G. Landis, "Plasma Shield for an Interstellar Vehicle" C. Maccone, "Sun Focus Comes First, Interstellar Comes Second (Mission...
A New Slant on ‘The Planet of Doubt’
Among all the planets, Uranus seems to get the least play in science fiction, though it does have one early advocate whose work I've always been curious about. Although he wrote under a pseudonym, the author calling himself 'Mr. Vivenair' published a book about a journey to Uranus back in the late 18th Century. A Journey Lately Performed Through the Air in an Aerostatic Globe, Commonly Called an Air Balloon, From This Terraquaeous Globe to the Newly Discovered Planet, Georgium Sidus (1784) seems to be reminiscent of some of Verne's work, even if it pre-dates it, in using a then cutting-edge technology (balloons) to envision a manned trip through space. Image: Near-infrared views of Uranus reveal its otherwise faint ring system, highlighting the extent to which it is tilted. Credit: Lawrence Sromovsky, (Univ. Wisconsin-Madison), Keck Observatory. When 'Vivenair' wrote, Uranus had just been discovered (by William Herschel in 1781). The author used it as the occasion for political...
Earth’s Oceans: A Cometary Source After All?
Getting water into the inner Solar System is an interesting exercise. There has to be a mechanism for it, because the early Earth formed at temperatures that would have caused any available water to have evaporated. Scientists have long speculated that water must have been delivered either through comets or asteroids once the Earth had cooled enough to allow liquid water to exist. The former was preferred because the water content in comets is so much higher than in asteroids. But the theory had problems, not the least of which was that comets studied in this regard showed deuterium levels twice that of Earth's oceans. The ratio of deuterium and hydrogen, both made just after the Big Bang, can vary in water depending on its location because local conditions can affect the chemical reactions that go into making ice in space. A comparison of the deuterium to hydrogen ratio in extraterrestrial objects can be compared to water found in Earth's oceans to identify the source of our water....
Resonance and Probability Around Kepler-18
Three planets recently discovered through Kepler data provide an interesting take on how we look at smaller planets. Not that the planets around the star designated Kepler-18 are all that small -- two of them are Neptune-class and one is a super-Earth. But what is becoming clear is that given the state of our current technology, we'll have to get used to a process different from planet verification as we move to ever smaller worlds. The technique is being referred to as planet validation -- it helps us determine the probability that the detected object could be something other than a planet. Image: The orbits of the three known planets orbiting Kepler-18 as compared to Mercury's orbit around the Sun. Credit: Tim Jones/McDonald Obs./UT-Austin. The new system shows how this works. Kepler-18 is a star similar to ours, about 10 percent larger than the Sun and with 97 percent of the Sun's mass. Around it we have Kepler-18 c and d, which turn up through transits. Planet c has a mass of...
Initial Thoughts on the Starship Symposium
I'm just back from the 100 Year Starship Symposium. The thoughts below were written yesterday evening (the 2nd), just after the event ended. It's a lovely evening here in Orlando, one I'm enjoying while sitting out in front of the Hilton waiting for my taxi. I got a chuckle out of the audience at my talk at the 100 Year Starship Symposium when I mentioned something that is completely true: I'm actually a very retro kind of guy. Sure, starships are a passion, but I also restore old fountain pens, love film noir, and as I told the audience, chose an overnight sleeper train to come to Florida in rather than an aircraft. They enjoyed the observation, probably because we're all an odd mix of personally defined and often contradictory impulses. But as I soak up this gorgeous Florida evening, I'm feeling a profound singleness of purpose. To begin with, it's clear to me that writing about the starship conference won't be a matter of a single Centauri Dreams entry but rather a series of...