Habitable zones are always easy enough to explain when you invoke the ‘Goldilocks’ principle, but every time I talk about these matters there’s always someone who wants to know how we can speak about places being ‘not too hot, not too cold, but just right.’ After all, we’re a sample of one, and why shouldn’t there be living creatures beneath icy ocean crusts or on worlds hotter than we could tolerate? I always point out that we have to work with what we know, that water and carbon-based life are what we’re likely to be able to detect, and that we need to fund the missions to find it. The last word on habitable zone models has for years been Kasting, Whitmire and Reynolds on “Habitable Zones around Main Sequence Stars.” Now Ravi Kopparapu (Penn State) has worked with Kasting and a team of researchers to tune-up the older model, giving us new boundaries based on more recent insights into how water and carbon dioxide absorb light. Both models work with well defined boundaries, the inner...
TW Hydrae: An Infant Planetary System Analyzed
You have to like the attitude of Thomas Henning (Max-Planck-Institut für Astronomie). The scientist is a member of a team of astronomers whose recent work on planet formation around TW Hydrae was announced this afternoon. Their work used data from ESA's Herschel space observatory, which has the sensitivity at the needed wavelengths for scanning TW Hydrae's protoplanetary disk, along with the capability of taking spectra for the telltale molecules they were looking for. But getting observing time on a mission like Herschel is not easy and funding committees expect results, a fact that didn't daunt the researcher. Says Henning, "If there's no chance your project can fail, you're probably not doing very interesting science. TW Hydrae is a good example of how a calculated scientific gamble can pay off." I would guess the relevant powers that be are happy with this team's gamble. The situation is this: TW Hydrae is a young star of about 0.6 Solar masses some 176 light years away. The...
Explaining Retrograde Orbits
While radial velocity and transit methods seem to get most of the headlines in exoplanet work, there are times when direct imaging can clarify things found by the other techniques. A case in point is the HAT-P-7 planetary system some 1000 light years from Earth in the constellation Cygnus. HAT-P-7b was interesting enough to begin with given its retrograde orbit around the primary (meaning its orbit was opposite to the spin of its star). Learning how a planet can emerge in a retrograde orbit demands learning more about the system at large, which is why scientists from the University of Tokyo began taking high contrast images of the HAT-P-7 system. It had been Norio Narita (National Astronomical Observatory of Japan) who, in 2008, discovered evidence of HAT-P-7b’s retrograde orbit. Narita’s team has now used adaptive optics at the Subaru Telescope to measure the proper motion of what turns out to be a small companion star now designated HAT-P-7B. The team was also able to confirm a...
Data Storage: The DNA Option
One of the benefits of constantly proliferating information is that we're getting better and better at storing lots of stuff in small spaces. I love the fact that when I travel, I can carry hundreds of books with me on my Kindle, and to those who say you can only read one book at a time, I respond that I like the choice of books always at hand, and the ability to keep key reference sources in my briefcase. Try lugging Webster's 3rd New International Dictionary around with you and you'll see why putting it on a Palm III was so delightful about a decade ago. There is, alas, no Kindle or Nook version. Did I say information was proliferating? Dave Turek, a designer of supercomputers for IBM (world chess champion Deep Blue is among his creations) wrote last May that from the beginning of recorded time until 2003, humans had created five billion gigabytes of information (five exabytes). In 2011, that amount of information was being created every two days. Turek's article says that by 2013,...
The Velocity of Thought
How fast we go affects how we perceive time. That lesson was implicit in the mathematics of Special Relativity, but at the speed most of us live our lives, easily describable in Newtonian terms, we could hardly recognize it. Get going at a substantial percentage of the speed of light, though, and everything changes. The occupants of a starship moving at close to 90 percent of the speed of light age at half the rate of their counterparts back on Earth. Push them up to 99.999 percent of c and 223 years go by on Earth for every year they experience. Thus the 'twin paradox,' where the starfaring member of the family returns considerably younger than the sibling left behind. Carl Sagan played around with the numbers in the 1960s to show that a spacecraft moving at an acceleration of one g would be able to reach the center of the galaxy in 21 years (ship-time), while tens of thousands of years passed on Earth. Indeed, keep the acceleration constant and our crew can reach the Andromeda...
Talking Back from Alpha Centauri
Back when I was working on my Centauri Dreams book, JPL's James Lesh told me that the right way to do communications from Alpha Centauri was to use a laser. The problem is simple enough: Radio signals fall off in intensity with the square of their distance, so that a spacecraft twice as far from Earth as another sends back a signal with four times less the strength. Translate that into deep space terms and you've got a problem. Voyager puts out a 23-watt signal that has now spread to over one thousand times the diameter of the Earth. And we're talking about a signal 20 billion times less powerful than the power to run a digital wristwatch. Now imagine being in Alpha Centauri space and radiating back a radio signal that is 81,000,000 times weaker than what Voyager 2 sent back from Neptune. But lasers can help in a major way. Dispersion of the signal is negligible compared to radio, and optical signals can carry more information. Lesh is not a propulsion man so he leaves the problem of...
Deep Space Industries: Mining Near-Earth Asteroids
Deep Space Industries is announcing today that it will be engaged in asteroid prospecting through a fleet of small 'Firefly' spacecraft based on cubesat technologies, cutting the costs still further by launching in combination with communications satellites. The idea is to explore the small asteroids that come close to Earth, which exist in large numbers indeed. JPL analysts have concluded that as many as 100,000 Near Earth Objects larger than the Tunguska impactor (some 30 meters wide) are to be found, with roughly 7000 identified so far. So there's no shortage of targets (see Greg Matloff's Deflecting Asteroids in IEEE Spectrum for more on this. 'Smaller, cheaper, faster' is a one-time NASA mantra that DSI is now resurrecting through its Firefly spacecraft, each of which masses about 25 kilograms and takes advantages of advances in computing and miniaturization. In its initial announcement, company chairman Rick Tumlinson talked about a production line of Fireflies ready for action...
A New Horizons Update
I for one am astounded at the fact that it has been seven years since the launch of New Horizons. The craft, now more than halfway between the orbits of Uranus and Neptune, lifted off on January 19, 2006. I remember my frustration at having hundreds of cable channels on my television and not being able to see the New Horizons launch on any of them. I wound up tracking the event on a balky Internet transmission that, despite freezing up on more than one occasion, still got across the magic of punching this mission out into the deepest parts of the Solar System. With the flyby at Pluto/Charon in 2015, principal investigator Alan Stern is describing what his team is feeling as 'the seven year itch,' a sense of anticipation feeding off the spacecraft's continued good health along the way. Stern's latest report is online, noting that the current 'wake period' of the spacecraft (New Horizons was in hibernation from July of 2012 until January 6) is proceeding smoothly, including upload of...
The Last Pictures: Contemporary Pessimism and Hope for the Future
Sending messages into the galaxy normally goes under the rubric of METI - Messaging to Extraterrestrial Intelligence. In its electromagnetic form, the sending of directed signals to nearby star systems, it has proven more than a little controversial, as the work of Alexander Zaitsev at Evpatoria attests. But sending a message into space in the form of an artifact like the 'Golden Record' on the Voyager probes is also a form of METI, and one that excites as much introspection as passion. Larry Klaes has been looking at Trevor Paglen's Pictures from Earth project, which sends images of our world not to the stars but into a stable orbit near our planet. Who will eventually find these images and what will they make of them? What should we be thinking about when we represent ourselves to the universe? By Larry Klaes In the history of humanity, there have been a select number of key events which define the moments when our species became truly intelligent in terms of a self-aware...
Pulsar Navigation: Beacons in the Darkness
In a world of search engines, GPS and always-on connectivity, I sometimes wonder what's happening to serendipity. Over the years, I've made some of my best library finds by browsing the stacks, just taking some time off and walking around scanning the book titles. Odd ideas show up, mental connections get forged, and new insights emerge. Targeted searching is generally what we do (think Google), but never forget the value of the odd juxtaposition that comes from random wanderings. Too much targeting can produce tunnel vision. For that matter, have you noticed how hard it is to get lost these days? I'm just back from Oakland, where Marc Millis and I went for interviews with the History Channel in the gorgeous setting of Chabot Space & Science Center in the hills above the city. The view on the drive up was spectacular, and my guide used an iPad to continually update our position on the map, so getting lost was impossible. My son Miles drove up from his home south of San Francisco and...
The Nuclear Rocket Option
Tim Folger and Les Johnson (NASA MSFC) stood last summer in front of a nuclear rocket at Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Alabama. Johnson's work in advanced propulsion concepts is well known to Centauri Dreams readers, but what he was talking to Folger about in an article for National Geographic was an older technology. NERVA, once conceived as part of the propulsion package that would send astronauts to Mars, had in its day the mantle of the next logical step beyond chemical propulsion. A snip from the story: Johnson looks wistfully at the 40,000-pound engine in front of us... "If we're going to send people to Mars, this should be considered again," Johnson says. "You would only need half the propellant of a conventional rocket." NASA is now designing a conventional rocket to replace the Saturn V, which was retired in 1973, not long after the last manned moon landing. It hasn't decided where the new rocket will go. The NERVA project ended in 1973 too, without a flight...
Assessing Exomoon Habitability
Yesterday's post on exomoons and their possibilities as abodes for life leads naturally to new work from René Heller (Leibniz Institute for Astrophysics, Potsdam) and Rory Barnes (University of Washington). We're finding planets much larger and more massive than Earth in the habitable zone, as the recent findings of the Planet Hunters project attest. What can we say about the habitability of any large moons these planets may have? In their paper, Heller and Barnes look at the issues that separate exomoon habitability from habitability on an exoplanet itself. If Earth-sized satellites of giant planets exist, they may have certain advantages over terrestrial planets in the same orbit, depending on the host star. We know that M-class dwarfs are by far the most common kind of star in the galaxy, and that habitable zone planets around one of these will probably be tidally locked, with one hemisphere permanently facing the star and the other in permanent darkness. Extreme weather...
Gas Giants in the Habitable Zone
Because the sky is full of surprises, we can’t afford to be too doctrinaire about what tomorrow’s discovery might be. After all, ‘hot Jupiters’ were considered wildly unlikely by all but a few, and even here in the Solar System, probes like our Voyagers have turned up one startling thing after another -- volcanoes on Io were predicted just before Voyager arrived, but who thought we'd actually see them in the act of erupting? So I don’t think we can rule out the idea of habitable moons around a gas giant in the habitable zone, but there are reasons to question how numerous they would be. We’ve had this discussion before on Centauri Dreams, and while I love the idea of a huge 'Jupiter' hanging in the sky of a verdant, life-bearing planet, there are some factors that argue against it, as reader FrankH pointed out recently. One problem is that moons around a gas giant will probably be made largely of ice and rock, because the planet itself would have formed beyond the snow line and...
Probing a Brown Dwarf’s Atmosphere
The American Astronomical Society's meeting in Long Beach is going to occupy us for several days, and not always with exoplanet news. Brown dwarfs, those other recent entrants into the gallery of research targets, continue to make waves as we learn more about their nature and distribution. The hope of finding a brown dwarf closer than Alpha Centauri has faded and recent work has emphasized that there may be fewer of these objects than thought -- WISE data point to one brown dwarf for every six stars. But habitable planets around brown dwarfs are not inconceivable, and in any case we are continuing to build the census of nearby objects. The latest from AAS offers up what could be considered a probe of brown dwarf 'weather.' If the idea of weather on a star seems odd, consider that the cooler brown dwarfs are far closer to gas giants than stars, unable to trigger hydrogen fusion and gradually cooling as they age. That means cloud patterns form and huge storms plow through the various...
Earth-Sized Planets Widespread in Galaxy
Plenty of interesting news is coming out of the American Astronomical Society meeting in Long Beach CA, enough that I'll want to spread our look at it out over the next few days. I want to start with Geoff Marcy's investigations with grad student Erik Petigura at UC-Berkeley, the two working in tandem with Andrew Howard (University of Hawaii) on the question of Earth-sized planets and their distribution in the galaxy. But I can't help noting before I begin how science fictional all these exoplanets are starting to seem as each day brings a new paper or announcement. For me, science fiction has always been as much about landscape as it is about science, and exoplanets are the ultimate exercise in imagining exotic places. When exoplanet announcements were still new and we had only a small catalog of these worlds, I would find myself pondering each and thinking about what it would be like to orbit one, or stand on it. Now we're getting hard data on potentially habitable places that...
On Artifacts Future and Past
How are you affected by the cave paintings at Lascaux? The paleolithic art in this region of southwestern France dates back perhaps 18,000 years, depicting large animal figures, human forms and abstract symbols. Some believe the paintings even contain astronomical pointers -- star charts -- but theories on how to interpret them abound, and whatever spin we put on them, we're confronted by the mystery of evocative imagery reaching out over centuries. Lascaux and other such sites take us beyond civilization and into the realm of deep time, a place where our parochial concerns are dwarfed by this reminder of humanity's aggregated experience. Early cave art reaches almost twice as far back as the 10,000 year clock proposed by Danny Hillis and the Long Now Foundation hopes to take us forward. Yet the experience of the two is in some ways similar. Building a clock designed to tell time by the year and century places our short lives in perspective and demands we take a view that encompasses...
Planets Everywhere You Turn
Exactly what kind of planets can form around M-class dwarf stars is a major issue. After all, these stars, comprising 70 percent or more of the stars in the galaxy, are far more common than stars like the G-class Sun. About 5500 of the 160,000 stars the Kepler mission is looking at are M-dwarfs, and of these, 66 had been found to show at least one planetary transit signal at the time a new paper on M-dwarf planets was in preparation. That paper, the work of John Johnson and postdoc Jonathan Swift (Caltech) and team, homes in on the Kepler-32 system, whose five transiting planets offer a chance to study planet formation and frequency around such stars. Kepler-32 is about half as massive as the Sun and has half its radius, with about 5 percent of its luminosity. The planets here have radii that range from 0.8 to 2.7 times that of the Earth, all of them orbiting within about a tenth of an astronomical unit from the star, a distance that is about a third of the radius of Mercury's orbit...
Dynamics of an Interstellar Probe
Yesterday's look at radiation and its effects on humans in space asked whether any Fermi implications were to be found in the work described at the University of Rochester. One answer is that expansion into the cosmos does not need to be biological, for biological beings can build robotic explorers equipped with enough artificial intelligence to get the job done. A truly advanced civilization would be able to create large numbers of intelligent probes or, indeed, self-replicating probes that could spread throughout the galaxy on a timescale of perhaps ten million years. Fermi speculation is always fun but, when we get into the motivations of extraterrestrial civilizations, it leads inevitably to unfalsifiable solutions, good for conversation over coffee but incapable of producing a scientific result. Thus the 'zoo hypothesis,' the notion that the Earth is intentionally left alone to pursue its own development by beings with an agenda of their own. It makes for terrific science...
Radiation, Alzheimer’s Disease and Fermi
In a sobering start to the New Year, at least for partisans of manned missions to deep space, new work out of the University of Rochester indicates that galactic cosmic radiation may accelerate the onset of Alzheimer’s disease. The study, led by the university’s Kerry O’Banion, is hardly the first time that the impact of radiation in space has been studied, with previous work aimed at cancer risks as well as cardiovascular and musculoskeletal issues. But O’Banion’s work points to radiation's effects on biological processes in the brain, reaching striking conclusions: “Galactic cosmic radiation poses a significant threat to future astronauts,” said O’Banion. “The possibility that radiation exposure in space may give rise to health problems such as cancer has long been recognized. However, this study shows for the first time that exposure to radiation levels equivalent to a mission to Mars could produce cognitive problems and speed up changes in the brain that are associated with...