What we'll eventually want is a good name. 2014 MU69 is the current designation for the Kuiper Belt Object now selected as the next destination for New Horizons, one of two identified as possibilities, and the one the New Horizons team itself recommended. Thus we have a target -- a billion and a half kilometers beyond Pluto/Charon -- for the much anticipated extended mission, but whether that mission will actually occur depends upon NASA review processes that are not yet complete. Still, the logic of putting the spacecraft to future use is hard to miss, as John Grunsfeld, chief of the agency's Science Mission Directorate, is the first to note: "Even as the New Horizon's spacecraft speeds away from Pluto out into the Kuiper Belt, and the data from the exciting encounter with this new world is being streamed back to Earth, we are looking outward to the next destination for this intrepid explorer. While discussions whether to approve this extended mission will take place in the larger...
The Prime Directive – A Real World Case
Trying to observe but not harm another civilization can be tricky business, as Michael Michaud explains in the article below. While Star Trek gave us a model for non-interference when new cultures are encountered, even its fictional world was rife with departures from its stated principles. We can see the problem in microcosm in ongoing events in Peru, where a tribal culture coming into contact with its modern counterparts raises deeply ambiguous questions about its intentions. Michaud, author of Contact with Alien Civilizations (Copernicus, 2007), draws on his lengthy career in the U.S. Foreign Service to frame the issue of disruptive cultural encounter. By Michael A.G. Michaud Science fiction fans all know of the Prime Directive, usually described as avoiding contact with a less technologically advanced civilization to prevent disruption of that society's development. In a 1968 Star Trek episode, the directive was explicitly defined: "No identification of self or mission. No...
Back to the Ice Giants?
As data return from New Horizons continues, we can hope that an encounter with a Kuiper Belt Object is still in its future. But such an encounter will, like the flyby of Pluto/Charon itself, be a fleeting event past an object at huge distance. Our next chance to study a KBO might take place a bit closer in, and perhaps we'll be able to study it with the same intense focus that Dawn is now giving the dwarf planet Ceres. How about an orbiter around Neptune, whose moon Triton is thought by many to be a KBO captured by the ice giant long ago? The thought is bubbling around some parts of NASA, and was voiced explicitly by the head of the agency's planetary science division, Jim Green, at this week's meeting of a working group devoted to missions to the outer planets. Stephen Clark tackles the story in Uranus, Neptune in NASA's Sights for a New Robotic Mission, which recounts the basic issues now in play. What comes across more than anything else is the timescale involved in putting...
Sharper Views of Ceres
The mapping of Ceres continues at a brisk pace. The Dawn spacecraft is now operating at 1470 kilometers from the surface, taking eleven days to capture and return images of the entire surface. As this JPL news release points out, each eleven day cycle consists of fourteen orbits, so we're accumulating views of this formerly faint speck in unprecedented detail. Within the next two months, Dawn will map Ceres -- all of Ceres -- six times. Have a look, for example, at this view of one of Ceres' more intriguing surface features. Taken by Dawn's framing camera on August 19, the image has a resolution of 140 meters per pixel. Image: NASA's Dawn spacecraft spotted this tall, conical mountain on Ceres from a distance of 1,470 kilometers. The mountain, located in the southern hemisphere, stands 6 kilometers high. Its perimeter is sharply defined, with almost no accumulated debris at the base of the brightly streaked slope. Credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/UCLA/MPS/DLR/IDA. The naming of surface...
OSIRIS REx: Asteroid Sample Return
Just over a year from now, we'll be anticipating the launch of the OSIRIS-REx mission, scheduled to rendezvous with the asteroid Bennu in 2018. This will be the first American mission to sample an asteroid, and it's interesting to note that the materials scientists hope to return will constitute the largest sample from space since the days of Apollo. As with recent comet studies, asteroid investigations may give us information about the origin of the Solar System, and perhaps tell us something about sources of early water and organic materials. This NASA Goddard animation offers a fine overview of the target and the overall mission. [youtube gtUgarROs08 500 416] But OSIRIS-REx is about more than the early Solar System. Recent scare stories have compelled NASA to state that a different asteroid, sometimes identified as 2012 TT5, will not impact our planet in September of this year. As Colin Johnston points out in Astronotes (the blog of Armagh Planetarium), 2012 TT5 will, on the 24th...
Comet Impacts: Triggers for Life?
With Rosetta's continuing mission at Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko, now post-perihelion but continuing to gather data, comets and their role in the history of the Solar System stay very much on my mind. Their role as delivery mechanisms for volatiles to an infant Earth is widely investigated, as is the idea that comet impacts may be linked to some of the great extinction events. But perhaps nothing is as provocative as the idea that comets had a role in actually starting life on our planet, with obvious implications for the likelihood of life elsewhere. Image: This series of images of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko was captured by Rosetta's OSIRIS narrow-angle camera on 12 August 2015, just a few hours before the comet reached the closest point to the Sun along its 6.5-year orbit, or perihelion. The image at left was taken at 14:07 GMT, the middle image at 17:35 GMT, and the final image at 23:31 GMT. The images were taken from a distance of about 330 km from the comet. The comet's...
The Scientific Imperative of Human Spaceflight
Interstellar distances seem to cry out for robotics and artificial intelligence. But as Nick Nielsen explains in the essay below, there is a compelling argument that our long-term goal should be human-crewed missions. We might ask whether the 'overview effect' that astronauts report from their experience of seeing the Earth from outside would have a counterpart on ever larger scales, including the galactic. In any case, what of 'tacit knowledge,' and that least understood faculty of human experience, consciousness? As always, Nielsen ranges widely in this piece, drawing on the philosophies of science and human experience to describe the value of an observing, embodied mind on the longest of all conceivable journeys. For more of Nick's explorations, see his Grand Strategy: The View from Oregon and Grand Strategy Annex. by J. N. Nielsen 0. A Scientific Argument for Human Exploration 1. The Human Condition in Outer Space 2. The Scientific Ellipsis of Tacit Knowledge 3. The...
Building the Gas Giants
Yesterday's article on supernovae 'triggers' for star and planet formation shed some light on how a shock wave moving through a cloud of gas and dust could not only cause the collapse and contraction of a proto-star but also impart angular momentum to an infant solar system. Today's essay focuses on a somewhat later phase of system formation. Specifically, how is it that gas giants like Jupiter and Saturn can form in the first place, given core accretion models that have 'trigger' problems of their own? Here's the issue: To create a gas giant, you need plenty of hydrogen and helium, material in which a solar nebula would be rich. But we're learning a lot about how planetary systems evolve, and the emerging reality is that the gas disks from which planets are made usually last a comparatively brief time, somewhere on the order of one to ten million years. That would imply that the gas giants had to accumulate their atmospheres within this timeframe. But how? Jupiter's atmosphere is...
A Supernova Trigger for Our Solar System
The interactions between supernovae and molecular clouds may have a lot to tell us about the formation of our own Solar System. Alan Boss and Sandra Keiser (Carnegie Institution for Science) have been exploring the possibility that our system was born as a result of a supernova 'trigger.' Their new paper follows up on work the duo have performed in recent years on how a cloud of dust and gas, when struck by a shock wave from an exploding star, could collapse and contract into a proto-star. The surrounding gas and dust disk would eventually give birth to the planets, although just how the latter occurs gets interesting, as the latest from Boss and Keiser reveals. Image: An artist's illustration of a protoplanetary disk. Credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/T. Pyle (SSC). The new work extends Boss and Keiser's modeling of such events. But before getting into that, let's look at what we already know from observations of far more distant celestial objects. Working at radio and submillimeter...
Dione: The Last Close Flyby
We're in the immediate aftermath of Cassini's August 17 flyby of Saturn's moon Dione. The raw image below gives us not just Dione but a bit of Saturn's rings in the distance. As always, we'll have better images than these first, unprocessed arrivals, but let's use this new one to underscore the fact that this is Cassini's last close flyby of Dione. I'm always startled to realize that outside the space community, the public is largely unaware that Cassini's days are numbered. It's as if these images, once they began, would simply go on forever. The reality is that processes are already in place for Cassini's final act. The 'Grand Finale' will be the spacecraft's close pass by Titan (within 4000 kilometers of the cloud tops), followed by its fall into Saturn's atmosphere on September 15, 2017, a day that will surely be laden with a great deal of introspection. Bear in mind that not long after Cassini's demise, we'll also see the end of the Juno mission at Jupiter. We may still have our...
A Science Critique of Aurora by Kim Stanley Robinson
I haven't yet read Kim Stanley Robinson's new novel Aurora (Orbit, 2015), though it's waiting on my Kindle. And a good thing, too, for this tale of a human expedition to Tau Ceti is turning out to be one of the most controversial books of the summer. The issues it explores are a touchstone for the widening debate about our future among the stars, if indeed there is to be one. Stephen Baxter does such a good job of introducing the issues and the authors of the essay below that I'll leave that to him, but I do want to note that Baxter's novel Ultima is just out (Roc, 2015) taking the interstellar tale begun in 2014's Proxima in expansive new directions. by Stephen Baxter, James Benford and Joseph Miller ‘Ever since they put us in this can, it’s been a case of get everything right or else everyone is dead . . .’ (Aurora Chapter 2) This essay is a follow-up to a review of Kim Stanley Robinson’s new novel Aurora by Gregory Benford, which critically examines the case that Robinson makes in...
Rosetta’s Day in the Sun
Today is perihelion day for the European Space Agency's Rosetta orbiter and the doughty Philae lander that, we can hope, may still be taking data even if we can't talk to it. Celebrating the event, ESA has made available a new interactive viewer based on images taken with Rosetta's navigation camera (NAVCAM). At the end of July, almost 7000 NAVCAM images were available through the Archive Image Browser, a number that will increase as the mission continues. Now we have an interactive tool that taps all those NAVCAM images. You can have a look at the tool here. With the ability to zoom in and out, rotate the view and move across the comet, the viewer adds features like texture maps and trajectory diagrams showing where various images of the comet were taken, linking to the NAVCAM database to allow downloads of the relevant images. ESA will also be doing a Google Hangout on what it's calling Rosetta's Day in the Sun at 1300 UTC (0900 EDT). Hard to believe we've already spent a year...
A Cosmological Fade to Black
Some writers immerse us so deeply in time that present-day issues are dwarfed by immensity. I always think of Olaf Stapledon and Star Maker (1937) in this regard, but consider Arthur C. Clarke's The City and the Stars (1956), in which we see the city Diaspar on the Earth of a billion years from now. And even Clarke's story is trumped by Greg Bear, whose City at the End of Time (2008), something of an homage not just to Clarke but to William Hope Hodgson as well, takes us to the Kalpa, a place and a civilization that is trying to ward off the breakdown of physical laws one hundred trillion years hence. With the Bear novel we enter the realm of extreme cosmology. Here spacetime itself is threatened by an entity intent on destroying it, creating a Chaos that harks back to ancient Earth myth. The human race is scattered across the cosmos, the galaxies themselves burned out husks. I also mentioned Hodgson above. The English writer (1877-1918), who would die at Ypres, produced a vast novel...
Upcoming Interstellar Conferences
The interstellar community has seen a surprising number of conferences since the 2011 event in Orlando, which kicked off the 100 Year Starship effort and brought unusual media attention to the idea of travel between the stars. I had thought when 2015 began that further conferences were unlikely -- it seemed to be a year for consolidation and, if you will, introspection, measuring how the effort to reach the public with deep space ideas was progressing and consolidating progress on various projects like the Icarus Interstellar starship redesign. But both Icarus and the 100 Year Starship organization have surprised me with conferences announced for this fall. Icarus pulled off a successful Starship Congress in 2013, one I remember with pleasure because of my son Miles' work with Icarus and the chance to meet up with him in Dallas to hear interesting papers and share news and good meals. There will doubtless be much to say about Project Icarus itself at the new meeting. After all, the...
Kepler-453b: A Hard to Find Transiting Circumbinary Planet
With the question of habitable planets on my mind following Andrew LePage's splendid treatment of Kepler-452b on Friday, I want to turn to the interesting news out of San Diego State, where astronomer William Welsh and colleagues have been analyzing a new transiting circumbinary planet, a find that brings us up to a total of ten such worlds. Planets like these, invariably likened to the planet Tatooine from Star Wars, have two suns in their sky. Now we have Kepler-453b to study, a world that presented researchers with a host of problems. Transits of the new world occur only nine percent of the time because of changes in the planet's orbit. Precession -- the change in orientation of the planet's orbital plane -- meant that Kepler couldn't see the planet at the beginning of its mission, but could after it swung into view about halfway through the mission's lifetime, allowing three transits. Clearly, this is a system we could easily have missed, says William Welsh (San Diego State), who...
Is Kepler 452b a Rocky Planet or Not?
Where is the dividing line between a large, rocky planet and a 'mini-Neptune?' It's a critical issue, because life is at least possible on one, unlikely on the other. But while we're getting better at figuring out planetary habitable zones, the question of how large a planet can be and remain 'terrestrial' is still unresolved. As Andrew LePage explains below, our view of potentially habitable planets like Kepler-452b depends upon how we analyze this matter -- clearly, just being in or near the habitable zone isn't enough. A prolific essayist with over 100 articles in venues like Scientific American and Sky & Telescope, LePage writes the excellent Drew ex Machina site, where his scrutiny of recent exoplanet finds is intense. The work seems a natural fit given his day job at Visidyne, Inc. near Boston, where he specializes in the processing and analysis of remote sensing data. by Andrew LePage A couple of weeks ago, the media was filled with reports about the discovery of Kepler 452b....
A Brown Dwarf ‘Laboratory’ for Planet Formation
Detecting planets around brown dwarfs is tricky business, but it's worth pursuing not only for its own sake but because planetary systems around brown dwarfs can tell us much about planet formation in general. A new paper from Andrzej Udalski (Warsaw University Observatory) and colleagues makes this point while noting four brown dwarf planets we've thus far found, all of them much larger than Jupiter. An extremely large planet well separated from a brown dwarf suggests a scaled-down binary star system rather than one growing out of an accretion disk. Fortunately, we can use gravitational microlensing to go after much smaller worlds around brown dwarfs, a method that is not compromised by the faintness of both planet and dwarf. In microlensing we don't 'see' the planet but can infer its presence by observing how light from a more distant star is affected as a brown dwarf system passes in front of it. Udalski and team have used microlensing to discover OGLE-2013-BLG-0723LB/Bb, which...
Orbital Change at Ceres (and a Note on the Euphrosynes)
As we close in on perihelion at Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko, the Dawn spacecraft continues its operations at Ceres. The contrast between Dawn's arrival at Ceres in March and New Horizons' flyby of Pluto/Charon could not have been more striking. With Dawn's gentle ion push, we watched Ceres gradually grow in the skies ahead, and then settle into focus as the spacecraft began orbital operations. New Horizons was a thrilling, high-velocity fling, with a sudden transition to a backlit Pluto as we settled in to wait for months of data return. Dawn is now heading for its third science orbit, gradually descending through 1900 kilometers toward an eventual 1500 kilometer altitude above the surface -- this is fully three times closer to Ceres than the previous orbit. Again, the gentle nature of ion propulsion is evident, for the spacecraft will reach the new orbit in mid-August, when data operations and imagery again flow. Bear in mind as you think about Pluto and Ceres that the latter is...
Rosetta’s Comet Nears Perihelion
With the fanfare of the New Horizons flyby of Pluto/Charon, we learned that public interest in space can be robust, at least to judge from the number of people I spoke to who had never previously seemed aware of the subject. Here's hoping that interest continues to be piqued -- as it should be -- by the ongoing events at Ceres and on Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko. With Ceres we have another exploration of a hitherto unknown surface, while the Rosetta spacecraft is watching surface activity on a comet of the kind we've never seen up close. We've already spent a year at the comet since Rosetta's arrival on August 6 of last year, examining the object's frozen ices and dust as they vaporize with increasing warmth from the Sun. The gas and dust 'atmosphere' thus created, called the coma, can produce the kind of spectacular tails we've long associated with comet observations from Earth. Perihelion occurs on August 13, when the comet reaches a distance of 186 million kilometers from the...
A ‘Rosetta Stone’ for Super-Earths
The discovery and confirmation of the exoplanet HD 219134b give us a useful touchstone relatively close to the Solar System. At 21 light years away in the constellation Cassiopeia, HD 219134b distinguishes itself by being the closest exoplanet to Earth to be detected using the transit method. That's useful indeed, because we'll be able to use future instruments like the James Webb Space Telescope to learn about the composition of any atmosphere there. Image: This sky map shows the location of the star HD 219134 (circle), host to the nearest confirmed rocky planet found to date outside of our solar system. The star lies just off the "W" shape of the constellation Cassiopeia and can be seen with the naked eye in dark skies. It actually has multiple planets, none of which are habitable. Credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/DSS. Too close to its star to be considered a candidate for life, the new world is a 'super-Earth,' sighted by the HARPS-North instrument using radial velocity techniques, which...