Imagine what you could do with a comet at your disposal. In Seveneves, Neal Stephenson's new novel (William Morrow, 2015), a Musk-like character named Sean Probst decides to go after Comet Grigg-Skjellerup. A lunar catastrophe has doomed planet Earth and humanity is in a frantic rush to figure out how to save at least a fraction of the population by living off-world. Probst understands that a comet would be a priceless acquisition: "You can't make rocket fuel out of nickel. But with water we can make hydrogen peroxide -- a fine thruster propellant -- or we can split it into hydrogen and oxygen to run big engines…. We have to act immediately on long-lead-time work that addresses what we do know. And what we know is that we need to bring water to the Cloud Ark. Physics and politics conspire to make it difficult to bring it up from the ground. Fortunately, I own an asteroid mining company…" And so on. Lest you think that was a spoiler, be advised that it's just the tip of...
On Habitability around Red Dwarf Stars
Learning that there is flowing water on Mars encourages the belief that human missions there will have useful resources, perhaps in the form of underground aquifers that can be drawn upon not just as a survival essential but also to produce interplanetary necessities like rocket fuel. What yesterday's NASA announcement cannot tell us, of course, is whether there is life on Mars today, though if the detected water is indeed flowing up from beneath the surface, it seems a plausible conjecture that some form of bacterial life may exist below ground, a life perhaps dating back billions of years. I've speculated in these pages that we may in fact identify life around other stars — through studies of exoplanet atmospheres — before we find it elsewhere in our Solar System, given the length of time we have to wait before return missions to places like Enceladus and Europa can be mounted. Perhaps the Mars news can help us accelerate that schedule, at least where the Red Planet is...
Pluto, Bonestell and Richard Powers
Like the Voyagers and Cassini before it, New Horizons is a gift that keeps on giving. As I looked at the latest Pluto images, I was drawn back to Chesley Bonestell's depiction of Pluto, a jagged landscape under a dusting of frozen-out atmosphere. Bonestell's images in The Conquest of Space (Viking, 1949) took the post-World War II generation to places that were only dimly seen in the telescopes of the day, Pluto being the tiniest and most featureless of all. But paging through my copy of the book, I'm struck by how, in the case of Pluto, even Bonestell's imagination failed to do it justice. The sense of surprise that accompanies many of the incoming New Horizons images reminds me of Voyager's hurried flyby of Neptune and the 'canteloupe' terrain it uncovered on Triton back in 1989. On Pluto, as it turns out, we have 'snakeskin' terrain, just as unexpected, and likewise in need of a sound explanation. Image: In this extended color image of Pluto taken by NASA's New Horizons...
Seeing Alien Power Beaming
We've long discussed intercepting not only beacons but stray radio traffic from other civilizations. The latter may be an all but impossible catch for our technology, but there is a third possibility: Perhaps we can intercept the 'leakage' from a beamed power infrastructure used to accelerate another civilization's spacecraft. The idea has been recently quantified in the literature, and Jim Benford examines it here in light of a power-beaming infrastructure he has studied in detail on the interplanetary level. The CEO of Microwave Sciences, Benford is a frequent contributor to these pages and an always welcome voice on issues of SETI and its controversial cousin METI (Messaging to Extraterrestrial Intelligence). by James Benford Beaming of power to accelerate sails for a variety of missions has been a frequent topic on this site. It has long been pointed out that beaming of power for interplanetary commerce has many advantages. Beaming power for space transportation purposes can...
Another Search for Kardashev Type III
I have no idea whether we would be able to recognize a Kardashev Type III civilization if we saw one, but the search is necessary as we rule out some possibilities and examine others. As we saw yesterday, the Glimpsing Heat from Alien Technologies project at Penn State has examined data on 100,000 galaxies, finding 93 with mid-infrared readings that merit further study. One thing that we, operating with what we know about physics, would expect from a super-civilization is the production of waste heat, in the temperature range between 100 and 600 K, and that’s why previous searches for Dyson spheres have gone looking for such signatures. But Kardashev Type III is an extreme reach. We’re talking about a civilization capable of using the energies not just of its own star but of its entire galaxy, and just how this would be done is a question about which we can only speculate. As Erik Zackrisson (Uppsala University) and colleagues do in a new paper that balances nicely against Michael...
No Sign of Galactic Super-Civilizations
‘Dysonian SETI’ is all about studying astronomical data in search of evidence of advanced civilizations. As such, it significantly extends the SETI paradigm both backwards and forwards in time. It moves forward because it offers entirely new search space in not just our own galaxy but galaxies throughout the visible universe. But it also moves backward in the sense that we can use vast amounts of stored observational data from telescopes both ground- and space-based to do the work. We don’t always need new instruments to do SETI, or even new observations. With Dysonian SETI, we can do a deep dive into our increasingly abundant digital holdings. At Penn State, Jason Wright and colleagues Matthew Povich and Steinn Sigurðsson have been conducting the Glimpsing Heat from Alien Technologies (G-HAT) project, which scans data in the infrared from the Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE) mission and the Spitzer Space Telescope. This is ground-breaking work that I’ve written about here...
Pluto as ‘Planet’
I have never been exactly indignant about the demotion of Pluto to 'dwarf planet' status but I do think it's curious and in at least one respect too arbitrary for my taste. I'll buy the idea that a planet needs to be round because of its own gravity, and I'll sign off on the notion that to be a planet, an object has to be in orbit around the Sun (even though we do have apparent wandering planets in the interstellar deep, far from any star). But the International Astronomical Union also decided in its 2006 deliberations that a planet has to 'clear' its neighborhood of debris, thus sweeping out its orbit over time. That one, of course, is controversial. Assuming the Earth is a planet, why are we worried about things like Near Earth Asteroids (NEAs)? Our planet clearly hasn't swept out its neighborhood, not when we can number problematic asteroids in the thousands. Jupiter is estimated to have about 100,000 trojan asteroids in its orbital path as well, and Alan Stern, principal...
Greg Matloff: Conscious Stars Revisited
It's no exaggeration to say that without Greg Matloff, there would have been no Centauri Dreams. After reading his The Starflight Handbook (Wiley, 1989) and returning to it for years, I began working on my own volume in 2001. Research for that book would reveal Matloff's numerous contributions in the journals, especially on solar sail technologies, where he illustrated early on the methods and materials needed for interstellar applications. A professor of physics at New York City College of Technology (CUNY) as well as Hayden Associate at the American Museum of Natural History, Dr. Matloff is the author of, among others, Deep Space Probes (Springer, 2005) and Solar Sails: A Novel Approach to Interplanetary Travel (with Les Johnson and Giovanni Vulpetti; Copernicus, 2008). His latest, Starlight, Starbright, is now available from Curtis Press, treating the controversial subject of today's essay. by Greg Matloff Introduction: Motivations As any web search will reveal, most of my...
New Look at ? Pictoris b
Given the scale of our own Solar System, the system circling the star Beta Pictoris can’t help but give us pause. Imagine not only the orbiting clouds of gas, dust and debris that we would expect around a young star (8-20 million years old) with a solar system in formation, but also a gas giant planet some ten to twelve times the mass of Jupiter, in an orbit something like Saturn’s. Now factor in this: The disk in question, if translated into our own system’s terms, would extend from about the orbit of Neptune to almost 2000 AU. Now we have a view of Beta Pictoris b as it moves through a small slice (one and a half years) of a 22 year orbital period. The work of Maxwell Millar-Blanchaer (a doctoral candidate at the University of Toronto) and colleagues, the imagery appears in a paper published yesterday by The Astrophysical Journal. Millar-Blanchaer used observations from the Gemini Planet Imager on the Gemini South telescope in Chile to image Beta Pictoris b, the work being part of...
Enceladus: A Global Ocean
Seven years worth of Cassini images of Enceladus have told us what many have long suspected: The intriguing moon does indeed have a subsurface ocean. Not that the presence of water on Enceladus comes as a surprise: The south polar region in the area of the famous 'tiger stripes' has long been known to be venting vapor and liquid water from its fractures. The question had become, is this a regional body of water, or is the Enceladus ocean global? To find out, a team at Cornell University led by Peter Thomas, whose work was just published in Icarus, charted about 5800 surface features, contrasting images taken at different times and at different angles. Using a combination of dynamical modeling and statistical analysis, they sought to find the best values for the interior that would explain an apparent libration or 'wobble' (0.120 ± 0.014°) detectable in the imagery, a larger motion by far than would be expected if the surface of Enceladus were solidly connected with its...
CubeSats: Deep Space Possibilities
The Planetary Society's LightSail-A, launched on May 20 of this year, demonstrated sail deployment from a CubeSat despite software problems that plagued the mission. You'll recall that communications were spotty and the upload of a software fix was compromised because of the spacecraft's continued tumbling. After a series of glitches, the craft's sail was deployed on the 7th of June, with LightSail-A entering the atmosphere shortly thereafter, a test flight that did achieve its primary objective, serving as a prototype for the upcoming LightSail-1. Mixing CubeSats with solar sails seems like an excellent idea once we've ironed out the wrinkles in the technology, and as I've speculated before, we may one day see interplanetary missions carried out by small fleets of CubeSats propelled by solar sails. Although the LightSail-A demonstrator mission was in a low orbit, LightSail-1 will deploy its four triangular sails once it reaches an orbital altitude of 800 kilometers. A key reading...
Pluto/Charon: Complexities Abound
Given the flow of new imagery from New Horizons, I began to realize that mission data were changing my prose. To be sure, I still lean to describing the system as Pluto/Charon, because given the relative size of the two bodies, this really seems like a binary object to me. I tend to call it a ‘binary planet’ among friends because I still think of Pluto as a planet, dwarf or not. But when New Horizons blew through the Pluto/Charon system, it was finally possible to start talking separately about Charon, because now we were seeing it, for the first time, up close. Charon as a distinct object from Pluto is a fascinating thought, one I’ve mused over since the days of the smaller object’s discovery in 1978. An enormous moon hanging in the sky, never changing its position, over a landscape unknown -- the imagination ran wild. In the event, New Horizons outdid anything I ever conceived, with imagery of both worlds we’ll be debating for a long time. But in some ways my favorite of the images...
Extraterrestrial Life: The Giants are Coming…
Finding a biological marker in the atmosphere of an exoplanet is a major goal, but as Ignas Snellen argues in the essay below, space-based missions are not the only way to proceed. A professor of astronomy at Leiden University in The Netherlands, Dr. Snellen makes a persuasive case that technologies like high dispersion spectroscopy and high contrast imaging are at their most effective when deployed at large observatories on the ground. A team of European observers he led has already used these techniques to determine the eight-hour rotation rate of Beta Pictoris b. We'll need carefully conceived space missions to study those parts of the spectrum inaccessible from the ground, but these will find powerful synergies with the next generation of giant Earth telescopes planned for operations in the 2020s. by Ignas Snellen While I was deeply involved by my PhD project, studying the active centers of distant galaxies, a real scientific revolution was unfolding in a very different field of...
The Closed Loop Conundrum
In Stephen Baxter's novel Ultima (Roc, 2015), Ceres is moved by a human civilization in a parallel universe toward Mars, the immediate notion being to use the dwarf planet's volatiles to help terraform the Red Planet. Or is that really the motive? I don't want to give too much away (and in any case, I haven't finished the book myself), but naturally the biggest question is how to move an object the size of Ceres into an entirely new orbit. Baxter sets up an alternate-world civilization that has discovered energy sources it doesn't understand but can nonetheless use for interstellar propulsion and the numerous demands of a growing technological society, though one that is backward in comparison to our own. That juxtaposition is interesting because we tend to assume technologies emerge at the same pace, supporting each other. What if they don't, or what if we simply stumble upon a natural phenomenon we can tap into without being able to reproduce its effects through any known science?...
Nitrogen Detection in the Exoplanet Toolkit
Extending missions beyond their initial goals is much on my mind as we consider the future of New Horizons and its possible flyby past a Kuiper Belt Object. But this morning I'm also reminded of EPOXI, which has given us views of the Earth that help us study what a terrestrial world looks like from a distance, characterizing our own planet as if it were an exoplanet. You'll recall that EPOXI (Extrasolar Planet Observation and Deep Impact Extended Investigation) is a follow-on to another successful mission, the Deep Impact journey to comet Tempel 1. As is clear from its acronym, EPOXI combined two extended missions, one following up the Tempel 1 studies with a visit to comet Hartley 2 (this followed an unsuccessful plan to make a flyby past comet 85P/Boethin, which proved to be too faint for accurate orbital calculations). The extrasolar component of EPOXI was called EPOCh (Extrasolar Planet Observation and Characterization), using the craft's high resolution telescope to make...
New Horizons: River of Data Commences
Hard to believe it's been 55 days since the New Horizons flyby. When the event occurred, I was in my daughter's comfortable beach house working at a table in the living room, a laptop in front of me monitoring numerous feeds. My grandson, sitting to my right with his machine, was tracking social media on the event and downloading images. When I was Buzzy's age that day, Scott Carpenter's Mercury flight was in the works, and with all of Gemini and Apollo ahead, I remember the raw excitement as the space program kept pushing our limits. I had a sense of generational hand-off as I worked New Horizons with my similarly enthusiastic grandson. Carpenter took the second manned orbital flight in the Mercury program when Deke Slayton had to step down because of his heart condition, and the flight may be most remembered for the malfunction in Carpenter's pitch horizon scanner, leading to the astronaut's taking manual control of the reentry, which in turn led to overshooting the splashdown...
The Shape of Space Telescopes to Come
Planning and implementing space missions is a long-term process, which is why we're already talking about successors to the James Webb Space Telescope, itself a Hubble successor that has yet to be launched. Ashley Baldwin, who tracks telescope technologies deployed on the exoplanet hunt, here looks at the prospects not just for WFIRST (Wide-Field InfraRed Survey Telescope) but a recently proposed High-Definition Survey Telescope (HDST) that could be a major factor in studying exoplanet atmospheres in the 2030s. When he is not pursuing amateur astronomy at a very serious level, Dr. Baldwin serves as a consultant psychiatrist at the 5 Boroughs Partnership NHS Trust (Warrington, UK). by Ashley Baldwin ?"It was the best of times, it was the worst of times..." Dickens apart, the future of exoplanet imaging could be about two telescopes rather than two cities. Consider the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), and Wide-Field InfraRed Survey Telescope (WFIRST), which as we shall see have the...
Equinox at Saturn: Puzzling Out the A Ring
I'm really going to miss Cassini when it takes its plunge into Saturn's atmosphere in 2017. Having an orbiter in the outer system means that periodically we've been handed spectacular imagery and vast amounts of data for present and future analysis. Each new encounter now, such as the recent one with Dione, is a poignant reminder of how successful this mission has been, and how much we could gain with similar instrumentation around the ice giants. Meanwhile, I look at this striking view of Saturn and its rings from 20 degrees above the ring plane, a mosaic built from 75 exposures using Cassini's wide angle camera, and marvel at the view. The images were made in August of 2009, a day and a half after Saturn equinox, when the Sun was exactly overhead at the planet's equator. The result is a darkening of the rings from this perspective because of the Sun's lower angle to the ring plane, with shadows cast across the ring structure. It will be a while before we see this view again -- even...
Hitchhiker to the Outer System
At the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Masahiro Ono has been using supercomputer simulations to model a new way of moving between small bodies in the Solar System. We've had a demonstration in the last few years of what ion propulsion can do to enable orbital operations at one asteroid (Vesta) followed by a journey to another (Ceres) and orbital insertion there. But Ono is looking at ways to simplify the process of asteroid and comet rendezvous that replaces the need for propellant during the orbital insertion and landing phases. Call it Comet Hitchhiker. "Hitchhiking a celestial body is not as simple as sticking out your thumb, because it flies at an astronomical speed and it won't stop to pick you up. Instead of a thumb, our idea is to use a harpoon and a tether," says Ono, who presents the idea today at the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics SPACE conference in Pasadena. The work has intriguing implications for our investigations of the Kuiper Belt and outer...
A Statistical Look at Panspermia
Would panspermia, the idea that primitive life can spread from star to star, be theoretically observable? Henry Lin and Abraham Loeb (both associated with the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics) believe the answer is yes. In a paper accepted for publication in Astrophysical Journal Letters, the duo make the case that panspermia would create statistical correlations regarding the distribution of life. Detecting biosignatures in the atmospheres of exoplanets may eventually allow us to apply statistical tests in search of these clustering patterns. If panspermia occurs, the paper argues, we can in principle detect it. "In our theory,” says Lin, “clusters of life form, grow, and overlap like bubbles in a pot of boiling water." The paper argues that future surveys like TESS (Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite) could be an early step in building the statistical database needed. TESS could detect hundreds of terrestrial-class explanets, some of whose atmospheres will be subject...