What We Are Trying to Find

What is it we are looking for when we probe nearby planetary systems? Certainly the search for life elsewhere compels us to find planets like our own around stars much like the Sun. But surely our goal isn't restricted to finding duplicate Earths, if indeed they exist. A larger goal would be to find life on planets unlike the Earth -- perhaps around stars much different from the Sun -- which would give us some idea how common living systems are in the galaxy. And beyond that? The ultimate goal is simply to find out what is out there. That takes in outcomes as different as widespread microbial life, perhaps leading to more complex forms, and barren worlds in which life never emerged. A galaxy filled with life vs. a galaxy in which life is rare offers us two striking outcomes. We ignore preconceptions to find out which is true. Flaring Red Stars Let's try to put Proxima Centauri's recent flare, discussed yesterday, in context. Events like this highlight our doubts about the viability...

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Proxima Flare May Force Rethinking of Dust Belts

News of a major stellar flare from Proxima Centauri is interesting because flares like these are problematic for habitability. Moreover, this one may tell us something about the nature of the planetary system around this star, making us rethink previous evidence for dust belts there. But back to the habitability question. Can red dwarf stars sustain life in a habitable zone much closer to the primary than in our own Solar System, when they are subject to such violent outbursts? What we learn in a new paper from Meredith MacGregor and Alycia Weinberger (Carnegie Institution for Science) is that the flare at its peak on March 24, 2017 was 10 times brighter than the largest flares our G-class Sun produces at similar wavelengths (1.3 mm). Image: The brightness of Proxima Centauri as observed by ALMA over the two minutes of the event on March 24, 2017. The massive stellar flare is shown in red, with the smaller earlier flare in orange, and the enhanced emission surrounding the flare that...

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Detecting Early Life on Exoplanets

At the last Tennessee Valley Interstellar Workshop, I was part of a session on biosignatures in exoplanet atmospheres that highlighted how careful we have to be before declaring we have found life. Given that, as Alex Tolley points out below, our own planet has been in its current state of oxygenation for a scant 12 percent of its existence, shouldn't our methods include life detection in as wide a variety of atmospheres as possible? A Centauri Dreams regular, Alex addresses the question by looking at new work on chemical disequilibrium and its relation to biosignature detection. The author (with Brian McConnell) of A Design for a Reusable Water-Based Spacecraft Known as the Spacecoach (Springer, 2016), Alex is a lecturer in biology at the University of California. Just how close are we to an unambiguous biosignature detection, and on what kind of world will we find it? by Alex Tolley Image: Archaean or early Proterozoic Earth showing stromatolites in the foreground. Credit: Peter...

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Streamlining Exoplanet Validation

Between Kepler and the ensuing K2 mission, we’ve had quite a haul of exoplanets. Kepler data have been used to confirm 2341 exoplanets, with NASA declaring 30 of these as being less than twice Earth-size and in the habitable zone. K2 has landed 307 confirmed worlds of its own. K2 offers a different viewing strategy than Kepler’s fixed view of over 150,000 stars. While the transit method is still at work, K2 pursues a series of observing campaigns, its fields of view distributed around the ecliptic plane, and with photometric precision approaching the original. Why the relationship with the ecliptic? Remember that what turned Kepler into K2 was the failure of two reaction wheels, the second failing less than a year after the first. Working in the ecliptic plane minimizes the torque produced by solar wind pressure, thus minimizing pointing drift and allowing the spacecraft to be controlled by its thrusters and remaining two reaction wheels. Each K2 campaign is limited to about 80 days...

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Computation Between the Stars

Frank Wilczek has used the neologism 'quintelligence' to refer to the kind of sentience that might grow out of artificial intelligence and neural networks using genetic algorithms. I seem to remember running across Wilczek's term in one of Paul Davies books, though I can't remember which. In any case, Davies has speculated himself about what such intelligences might look like, located in interstellar space and exploiting ultracool temperatures. A SETI target? If so, how would we spot such a civilization? Wilczek is someone I listen to carefully. Now at MIT, he's a mathematician and theoretical physicist who was awarded the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2004, along with David Gross and David Politzer, for work on the strong interaction. He's also the author of several books explicating modern physics to lay readers. I've read his The Lightness of Being: Mass, Ether, and the Unification of Forces (Basic Books, 2008) and found it densely packed but rewarding. I haven't yet tackled 2015's A...

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Probing Outer Planet Storms

A Hubble project called Outer Planet Atmospheres Legacy (OPAL) has been producing long-term information about the four outer planets at ultraviolet wavelengths, a unique capability that has paid off in deepening our knowledge of Neptune. If you kept pace with Voyager 2 at Neptune, you'll recall that the spacecraft found huge dark storms in the planet's atmosphere. Neptune proved to be more atmospherically active than its distance from the Sun would have suggested, and Hubble found another two storms in the mid-1990's that later vanished. Image: Neptune's Great Dark Spot, a large anticyclonic storm similar to Jupiter's Great Red Spot, observed by NASA's Voyager 2 spacecraft in 1989. The image was shuttered 45 hours before closest approach at a distance of 2.8 million kilometers. The smallest structures that can be seen are of an order of 50 kilometers. The image shows feathery white clouds that overlie the boundary of the dark and light blue regions. Credit: NASA/JPL. Now we have...

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Mistakes in the Drake Equation

Juggling all the factors impacting the emergence of extraterrestrial civilizations is no easy task, which is why the Drake equation has become such a handy tool. But are there assumptions locked inside it that need examination? Robert Zubrin thinks so, and in the essay that follows, he explains why, with a particular nod to the possibility that life can move among the stars. Although he is well known for his work at The Mars Society and authorship of The Case for Mars, Zubrin became a factor in my work when I discovered his book Entering Space: Creating a Spacefaring Civilization back in 2000, which led me to his scientific papers, including key work on the Bussard ramjet concept and magsail braking. Today's look at Frank Drake's equation reaches wide-ranging conclusions, particularly when we begin to tweak the parameters affecting both the lifetime of civilizations and the length of time it takes them to emerge and spread into the cosmos. by Robert Zubrin There are 400 billion other...

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Galaxies in Motion

"Wherever you go, there you are." So goes an old saw that makes a valid point: You can't escape yourself by changing locations. Translating the great Greek poet C. P. Cavafy, Lawrence Durrell tweaked the language of "The God Abandons Antony" to come up with these closing lines: Ah! don't you see Just as you've ruined your life in this One plot of ground you've ruined its worth Everywhere now — over the whole earth? All this in the service of Durrell's Alexandria Quartet, noting the fact that not even a Roman autocrat could escape his fate. Bear with me -- I think about stuff like this when I'm out walking late at night and the stars are particularly stunning. Before my walk, I had been looking at images of M31, the Andromeda galaxy, and doing my usual "What would it be like to be there" routine. Minus Durrell/Cavafy's dark vision, I might still ask myself what had changed. From a vantage in the Andromeda galaxy, there would be a Milky Way in my sky. And what else? Then David...

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‘Oumuamua: New Work on Interstellar Objects

Anomalous objects are a problem -- we need more than one to figure them out. One 'hot Jupiter' could have been an extreme anomaly, but we went on to find enough of them to realize this was a kind of planet that had a place in our catalog. Or think of those two Kuiper Belt objects that New Horizons imaged, as discussed in yesterday's post. Soon we'll have much closer imagery of MU69, but it will take more encounters -- and more spacecraft -- to begin to fathom the full range of objects that make up the Kuiper Belt. Ultimately, we'd like to see enough KBOs up close to start drawing statistically valid conclusions about the entire population. So where does the intriguing 'Oumuamua fit into all this? It was the first interstellar asteroid we've been able to look at, even if the encounter was fleeting. A friend asked me, having learned of the Breakthrough Listen SETI monitoring of the object, whether it wasn't absurd to imagine it could be a craft from another civilization. I could only...

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The View from the Kuiper Belt

New Horizons continues to push our limits, revealing new sights as it makes its way through the Kuiper Belt enroute to a January 1, 2019 encounter with the KBO 2014 MU69. No object this far from the Sun has ever been visited by a spacecraft. Adding further interest is the unusual nature of the target, for MU69 is thought to be a contact binary, two independent bodies that have touched (comet Churyumov-Gerasimenko is likely a contact binary as well). The beauty of this kind of exploration, of course, is that we so often get surprised when we reach our destination. Below is an image of NGC 3532, also known as the Wishing Well Cluster, an open cluster in the constellation Carina that has its own place in our observational history, becoming the first target ever observed by the Hubble Space Telescope. That was in May of 1990; this is New Horizons' view in December. The Wishing Well Cluster is a naked eye object for southern hemisphere observers, one of the most spectacular clusters of...

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Europa and Enceladus: Hotspots for Life

Icy moons around Jupiter and Saturn offer exciting venues for possible life elsewhere in our Solar System. But how do we penetrate surface ice to reach the oceans below? In today's post, Kostas Konstantinidis surveys the field of in-situ operations on places like Enceladus and Europa. Enceladus will be a tricky place to land thanks to rough topography and polar lighting conditions. Europa poses its own challenges; once we're down, how do we power up the technologies to get below the ice? Kostas developed a mission concept for DLR, the German space agency, to sample subsurface plume sources on Enceladus as part of the Enceladus Explorer (EnEx) project. He is currently working on a PhD thesis at Bundeswehr University (Munich) simulating a safe landing on that world, and tells me he hopes that by the end of his academic career, he will have 'a nice mugshot of an alien microbe swimming around in its natural environment to show for it.' How to get that mugshot is a fascinating issue, as...

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Lunar Recession: Implications for the Early Earth

It was in 1775 that Pierre-Simon Laplace developed his theories of tidal dynamics, formulating in the following year a set of equations to explain the phenomenon at a greater level of detail than ever before. Looking at the Moon on a frosty winter night, it's pleasing to realize that there is a mountainous region at the end of Montes Jura in Mare Imbrium that is called Promontorium Laplace. Surely the French astronomer and mathematician would have been pleased. One result of Laplace's calculations was his pointing out that the Moon's equatorial bulge was far too large to be accounted for by its current rate of rotation. Here we're dealing with conditions of formation of an object thought to have been the result of a collision between the Earth and a Mars-sized planet early in our system's evolution. I seldom write about the Moon in these pages, but today's story on its development catches my eye because it relates to the early history of our own world and the Solar System itself. For...

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TRAPPIST-1: Planets Likely Rich in Volatiles

Yesterday we saw that, by pushing the Hubble telescope to its limits, we could make a call about three of the TRAPPIST-1 planets -- d, e and f -- and one possibility for their respective atmospheres. The Hubble data rule out puffy atmospheres rich in hydrogen for these three (TRAPPIST-1 g needs more work before a definitive call can be made there). This is a useful finding, for hydrogen is a greenhouse gas that can heat planets close to their star beyond our usual norms for habitability. Set out deeper in a stellar system, we can think of Neptune, a gaseous world far different from the kind of rocky, terrestrial-class planets most likely to produce surface water. So on balance, the Hubble work, while not telling us anything more about potential atmospheres in this system, does rule out the Neptune scenario. That leaves open the question of whether future instruments will find more compact atmospheres. The James Webb Space Telescope should be able to probe these worlds, perhaps...

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Falcon Heavy: Extraordinary!

The Tau Zero Foundation and Centauri Dreams congratulates team Space Exploration Technologies, for the successful, historic, pioneering test flight of the Falcon Heavy. Ad Astra Incrementis indeed! From all of us, Jeff Greason Marc Millis Rhonda Stevenson Andrew Aldrin Paul Gilster Bill Tauskey Rod Pyle

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Probing TRAPPIST-1 Planetary Atmospheres

This week offers two interesting papers about the TRAPPIST-1 planets, one from Hubble data looking at the question of hydrogen in potential planetary atmospheres, the other drawing on data from the European Southern Observatory's Paranal facility as well as the Spitzer and Kepler space-based instruments. We'll look at the Hubble work this morning and move on to the second paper tomorrow. Both offer meaty stuff to dig into, for we're beginning to characterize these seven planets, which form a unique laboratory for the study of red dwarf systems. Published in Nature Astronomy, the Hubble results screen four of the TRAPPIST-1 planets -- d, e, f and g -- to study their potential atmospheres in the infrared, using Hubble's Wide Field Camera 3 in data collected from December 2016 to January 2017. The data allow us to rule out a cloud-free hydrogen-rich atmosphere on three of these worlds, while TRAPPIST-1g needs further observation before a hydrogen atmosphere can be conclusively excluded....

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Detection of Extragalactic Planets?

I was pleased to be a guest on David Livingston's The Space Show last week. David's questions are always well chosen, as were those of the listeners who participated in the show, and we spoke broadly about the interstellar effort and what it will take to eventually get human technologies to the stars. The show is now available in David's archives. I suspect that if David and I had spoken a couple of days later, the topic would have gotten around to gravitational microlensing, and specifically, the news about planets in other galaxies. On the surface, the story seems sensational. In our own galaxy, we can use radial velocity and transit studies on stars, but here our working distances are constrained by our method. The original Kepler field of view in Cygnus, Lyra and Draco, for example, contained stars ranging from 600 to 3000 light years out -- get beyond 3000 light years and transits are not detectable. Image: The Sun is about 25,000 light years from the center of the galaxy, about...

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Gravitational Lensing: Untangling an Image

The behavior of distant galaxies may tell us much about our own Milky Way’s evolution, as well as alerting us to the differing outcomes possible as galaxies mature. This morning we look at a galaxy labeled eMACSJ1341-QG-1, one that puts on display the phenomenon of gravitational lensing. We may one day use the distortion of spacetime caused by massive objects much closer to home to study nearby stars and their planets, assuming we can learn to exploit the natural gravitational lensing effect that occurs at 550 AU from the Sun. But back to the galactic perspective. Lined up with a massive galaxy cluster called eMACSJ1341.9-2441, the light from the much more distant galaxy is magnified by 30 times as the gravity of the intervening cluster -- its presumed dark matter, gas and thousands of individual galaxies -- distorts spacetime. Gravitational lensing was confirmed during a solar eclipse in 1919, when background stars were found to be offset in precisely the way Albert Einstein had...

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Lupus 3: Into the Dust

An absorption nebula, or 'dark' nebula, is a dense cloud of interstellar dust that can block the visible light from objects within or behind it. Today's image shows a striking cloud in the star-forming region Lupus 3, a dazzling view that simply demanded placement on Centauri Dreams. If you're looking for an interstellar flight angle, think about the issue of shielding a relativistic starship in regions so dense with gas and dust, zones that can stretch for hundreds of light years. But I need no other angle here -- the image is majestic in and of itself. Image: A dark cloud of cosmic dust snakes across this spectacular wide field image, illuminated by the brilliant light of new stars. This dense cloud is a star-forming region called Lupus 3, where dazzlingly hot stars are born from collapsing masses of gas and dust. This image was created from images taken using the VLT Survey Telescope and the MPG/ESO 2.2-metre telescope and is the most detailed image taken so far of this region....

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Charter

In Centauri Dreams, Paul Gilster looks at peer-reviewed research on deep space exploration, with an eye toward interstellar possibilities. For many years this site coordinated its efforts with the Tau Zero Foundation. It now serves as an independent forum for deep space news and ideas. In the logo above, the leftmost star is Alpha Centauri, a triple system closer than any other star, and a primary target for early interstellar probes. To its right is Beta Centauri (not a part of the Alpha Centauri system), with Beta, Gamma, Delta and Epsilon Crucis, stars in the Southern Cross, visible at the far right (image courtesy of Marco Lorenzi).

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