Building the Heavy Elements

A kilonova at the wrong place and time would spell trouble for any lifeforms emerging on a planetary surface. Just how we found out about kilonovae and the conditions that create them, not to mention their hypothesized effects, is the subject of Don Wilkins’ latest, a look at Cold War era surveillance that wound up pushing astronomy’s frontiers. That work now causes us to ponder the formation of an ‘island of stability’ in which exists a set of superheavy element isotopes with unique properties. It also raises interesting questions about our Solar System's history and possible exposure to a nearby event. Based at Washington University in St. Louis, Don’s interest in deep space exploration here probes the formation and structure of matter in processes we’re only beginning to unlock. by Don Wilkins Setting out to discover something on Earth can sometimes reveal an unexpected result from a far more interesting source. As a case in point, consider what happened in August of 1963, when...

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Close Stellar Encounters and Earth’s Orbit

Galaxies look fixed in astronomical photos, but of course they’re dynamic systems ever in motion. The closest stars to Earth at Alpha Centauri will eventually close to within about 3 light years if we wait thirty thousand years or so. After that, as the system moves away again, Ross 248 will emerge as the closest interstellar target, closing to about the same distance before moving off into the night. But that will require waiting a bit longer, on the order of another 6000 years. We might also keep an eye on Gliese 445, which in 46,000 years or so will close to less than 4 light years of the Sun. So everything is moving all the time, and we can say something more about future encounters. The REsearch Consortium On Nearby Stars (RECONS) has found that within the local 10-parsec volume, 81 percent of the 357 main sequence stars in its stellar census are less than half as massive as the Sun. That’s about the current estimate for the percentage of stars in the galaxy that are M-dwarfs,...

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Musings on Red Dwarf Planets

I'm going to start in the Kuiper Belt this morning before going further out, because the news that the Belt may extend much further than expected reminds us of the nature of exploration. The New Horizons spacecraft, well beyond Pluto’s orbit and approaching 60 AU from the Sun, is finding more dust than expected. Our theoretical models didn’t see that coming. In fact, the dust produced by collisions between Kuiper belt objects was thought to decline as we approached the Belt’s outer edge. So just where is that outer edge? It had been pegged around 50 AU but now looks more like 80 AU, if not further out, a finding corroborated by the fact that New Horizons scientists have used Earth-based resources like the Subaru Telescope in Hawaii to find numerous KBOs beyond the assumed boundary. Is this a new population of Solar System objects, or are we actually seeing something more mundane, such as radiation pressure pushing inner belt dust further out than would be expected? It takes patient...

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Solar Gravity Lens Mission: Refinements and Clarifications

Having just discussed whether humans – as opposed to their machines – will one day make interstellar journeys, it’s a good time to ask where we could get today with near-term technologies. In other words, assuming reasonable progress in the next few decades, what would be the most likely outcome of a sustained effort to push our instruments into deep space? My assumption is that fusion engines will one day be available for spacecraft, but probably not soon, and antimatter, that quixotic ultimate power source for interstellar flight, is a long way from being harnessed for propulsion. We’re left with conventional rocket propulsion with gravity assists, and sail technologies, which not coincidentally describes the two large interstellar missions currently being considered for the heliophysics decadal study. Both JHU/APL’s Interstellar Probe mission and JPL’s SGLF (Solar Gravity Lens Focal) mission aim at reaching well beyond our current distance holders, the now struggling Voyagers. The...

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To the Stars with Human Crews?

How long before we can send humans to another star system? Ask people active in the interstellar community and you’ll get answers ranging from ‘at least a century’ to ‘never.’ I’m inclined toward a view nudging into the ‘never’ camp but not quite getting there. In other words, I think the advantages of highly intelligent instrumented payloads will always be apparent for missions of this duration, but I know human nature well enough to believe that somehow, sometime, a few hardy adventurers will find a way to make the journey. I do doubt that it will ever become commonplace. You may well disagree, and I hope you’re right, as the scenarios open to humans with a galaxy stuffed with planets to experience are stunning. Having come into the field steeped in the papers and books of Robert Forward, I’ve always been partial to sail technologies and love the brazen, crazy extrapolation of Forward’s “Flight of the Dragonfly,” which appeared in Analog in 1982 and which would later be turned into...

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Otto Struve: A Prescient Look at Exoplanet Detection

Some things just run in families. If you look into the life of Otto Struve, you’ll find that the Russian-born astronomer was the great grandson of Friedrich Georg Wilhelm von Struve, who was himself an astronomer known for his work on binary stars in the 19th Century. Otto’s father was an astronomer as well, as was his grandfather. That’s a lot of familial energy packed into the study of the stars, and the Struve of most recent fame (Otto died in 1963) drew on that energy to produce hundreds of scientific papers. Interestingly, the man who was director at Yerkes and the NRAO observatories was also an early SETI advocate who thought intelligence was rife in the Milky Way. Of Baltic-German descent, Otto Struve might well have become the first person to discover an exoplanet, and therein hangs a tale. Poking around in the history of these matters, I ran into a paper that ran in 1952 in a publication called The Observatory titled “Proposal for a Project of High-Resolution Stellar Radial...

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What We Know Now about TRAPPIST-1 (and what we don’t)

Our recent conversations about the likelihood of life elsewhere in the universe emphasize how early in the search we are. Consider recent work on TRAPPIST-1, which draws on JWST data to tell us more about the nature of the seven planets there. On the surface, this seven-planet system around a nearby M-dwarf all but shouts for attention, given that we have three planets in the habitable zone, all of them of terrestrial size, as indeed are all the planets in the system. Moreover, as an ultracool dwarf star, the primary is both tiny and bright in the infrared, just the thing for an instrument like the James Webb Space Telescope to harvest solid data on planetary atmospheres. This is a system, in other words, ripe for atmospheric and perhaps astrobiological investigation, and Michaël Gillon (University of Liége), the key player in discovering its complexities, points in a new paper to how much we’ve already learned. If its star is ultracool, the planetary system at TRAPPIST-1 can also be...

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White Holes: Tunnels in the Sky?

It's good now and then to let the imagination soar. Don Wilkins has been poking into the work of Carlo Rovelli at the Perimeter Institute, where the physicist and writer explores unusual ideas, though perhaps none so exotic as white holes. Do they exist, and are there ways to envision a future technology that can exploit them? A frequent contributor to Centauri Dreams, Don is an adjunct instructor of electronics at Washington University, St. Louis, where he continues to track research that may one day prove relevant to interstellar exploration. A white hole offers the prospect of even a human journey to another star, but turning these hypothesized objects into reality remains an exercise in mathematics, although as the essay explains, there are those exploring the possibilities even now. by Don Wilkins Among the many concepts for human interstellar travel, one of the more provocative is an offspring of Einstein's theories, the bright twin of the black hole, the white hole. The...

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Alone in the Cosmos?

We live in a world that is increasingly at ease with the concept of intelligent extraterrestrial life. The evidence for this is all around us, but I’ll cite what Louis Friedman says in his new book Alone But Not Lonely: Exploring for Extraterrestrial Life (University of Arizona Press, 2023). When it polled in the United States on the question in 2020, CBS News found that fully two-thirds of the citizenry believe not only that life exists on other planets, but that it is intelligent. That this number is surging is shown by the fact that in polling 10 years ago, the result was below 50 percent. Friedman travels enough that I’ll take him at his word that this sentiment is shared globally, although the poll was US-only. I’ll also agree that there is a certain optimism that influences this belief. In my experience, people want a universe filled with civilizations. They do not want to contemplate the loneliness of a cosmos where there is no one else to talk to, much less one where valuable...

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Open Cluster SETI

Globular clusters, those vast ‘cities of stars’ that orbit our galaxy, get a certain amount of traction in SETI circles because of their age, dating back as they do to the earliest days of the Milky Way. But as Henry Cordova explains below, they’re a less promising target in many ways than the younger, looser open clusters which are often home to star formation. Because it turns out that there are a number of open clusters that likewise show considerable age. A Centauri Dreams regular, Henry is a retired map maker and geographer now living in southeastern Florida and an active amateur astronomer. Here he surveys the landscape and points to reasons why older open clusters are possible homes to life and technologies. Yet they’ve received relatively short shrift in the literature exploring SETI possibilities. Is it time for a new look at open clusters? by Henry Cordova If you're looking for signs of extra-terrestrial intelligence in the cosmos, whether it be radio signals or optical...

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Alien Life or Chemistry? A New Approach

Working in the field has its limitations, as Alex Tolley reminds us in the essay that follows, but at least biologists have historically been on the same planet with their specimens. Today’s hottest news would be the discovery of life on another world, as we saw in the brief flurries over the Viking results in 1976 or the Martian meteorite ALH84001. We rely, of course, on remote testing and will increasingly count on computer routines that can make the fine distinctions needed to choose between biotic and abiotic reactions. A new technique recently put forward by Robert Hazen and James Cleaves holds great promise. Alex gives it a thorough examination including running tests of his own to point to the validity of the approach. One day using such methods on Mars or an ice giant moon may confirm that abiogenesis is not restricted to Earth, a finding that would have huge ramifications not just for our science but also our philosophy. by Alex Tolley Perseverance rover on Mars - composite...

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Data Return from Proxima Centauri b

The challenges involved in sending gram-class probes to Proxima Centauri could not be more stark. They’re implicit in Kevin Parkin’s analysis of the Breakthrough Starshot system model, which ran in Acta Astronautica in 2018 (citation below). The project settled on twenty percent of the speed of light as a goal, one that would reach Proxima Centauri b well within the lifetime of researchers working on the project. The probe mass is 3.6 grams, with a 200 nanometer-thick sail some 4.1 meters in diameter. The paper we’ve been looking at from Marshall Eubanks (along with a number of familiar names from the Initiative for Interstellar Studies including Andreas Hein, his colleague Adam Hibberd, and Robert Kennedy) accepts the notion that these probes should be sent in great numbers, and not only to exploit the benefits of redundancy to manage losses along the way. A “swarm” approach in this case means a string of probes launched one after the other, using the proposed laser array in the...

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Reaching Proxima b: The Beauty of the Swarm

NIAC’s award of a Phase I grant to study a ‘swarm’ mission to Proxima Centauri naturally ties to Breakthrough Starshot, which continues its interstellar labors, though largely out of the public eye. The award adds a further research channel for Breakthrough’s ideas, and a helpful one at that, for the NASA Innovative Advanced Concepts program supports early stage technologies through three levels of funding, so there is a path for taking these swarm ideas further. An initial paper on swarm strategies was indeed funded by Breakthrough and developed through Space Initiatives and the UK-based Initiative for Interstellar Studies. Centauri Dreams readers are by now familiar with my enthusiasm for swarm concepts, and not just for interstellar purposes. Indeed, as we develop the technologies to send tiny spacecraft in their thousands to remote targets, we’ll be testing the idea out first through computer simulation but then through missions within our own Solar System. Marshall Eubanks, the...

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Galactic ‘Nature Preserves’ over Deep Time

Speculating about the diffusion of intelligent species through the galaxy, as we've been doing these past few posts, is always jarring. I go back to the concept of ‘deep time,’ which is forced on us when we confront years in their billions. I can’t speak for anyone else, but for me thinking on this level is closer to mathematics than philosophy. I can accept a number like 13.4 × 10⁹ years (the estimate for the age of globular cluster NGC 6397 and a pointer to the Milky Way’s age) without truly comprehending how vast it is. As biological beings, a century pushes us to the limit. What exactly is an aeon? NGC 6397 and other globular clusters are relevant because these ancient stellar metropolises are the oldest large-scale populations in the Milky Way. But I’m reminded that even talking about the Milky Way can peg me as insufferably parochial. David Kipping takes me entirely out of this comparatively ‘short-term’ mindset by pushing the limits of chronological speculation into a future...

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Can the ‘Zoo Hypothesis’ Be Saved?

If we were to find life other than Earth’s somewhere else in the Solar System, the aftershock would be substantial. After all, a so-called ‘second genesis’ would confirm the common assumption that life forms often, and in environments that range widely. The implications for exoplanets are obvious, as would be the conclusion that the Milky Way contains billions of living worlds. The caveat, of course, is that we would have to be able to rule out the transfer of life between planets, which could make Mars, say, controversial. But find living organisms on Titan and the case is definitively made. Ian Crawford and Dirk Schulze-Makuch point out in their new paper on the Fermi question and the ‘zoo hypothesis’ that this issue of abiogenesis could be settled relatively soon as our planetary probes gain in sophistication. We could settle it within decades if we found definitive biosignatures in an exoplanet atmosphere, but here my skepticism kicks in. My...

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Life Elsewhere? Relaxing the Copernican Principle

Most people I know are enthusiastic about the idea that other intelligent races exist in the galaxy. Contact is assumed to be an inevitable and probably profoundly good thing, with the exchange of knowledge possibly leading to serious advances in our own culture. This can lead to a weighting of the discourse in favor of our not being alone. The ever popular Copernican principle swings in: We can’t be unique, can we? And thus every search that comes up empty is seen as an incentive to try still other searches. I’m going to leave the METI controversy out of this, as it’s not my intent to question how we should handle actual contact with ETI. I want to step back further from the question. What should we do if we find no trace of extraterrestrials after not just decades but centuries? I have no particular favorite in this race. To me, a universe teeming with life is fascinating, but a universe in which we are alone is equally provocative. Louis Friedman’s new book Alone But Not Lonely...

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Charter

In Centauri Dreams, Paul Gilster looks at peer-reviewed research on deep space exploration, with an eye toward interstellar possibilities. For many years this site coordinated its efforts with the Tau Zero Foundation. It now serves as an independent forum for deep space news and ideas. In the logo above, the leftmost star is Alpha Centauri, a triple system closer than any other star, and a primary target for early interstellar probes. To its right is Beta Centauri (not a part of the Alpha Centauri system), with Beta, Gamma, Delta and Epsilon Crucis, stars in the Southern Cross, visible at the far right (image courtesy of Marco Lorenzi).

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