A recent conversation with a friend who works the futures markets has me thinking about the nature of daydreaming. This is a guy who tracks fast-breaking numbers all day long so as to avoid getting a freight-car’s worth of coffee beans or some other commodity delivered to his condo. His numbers, he says, are all business, and allow no time for daydreaming. Whereas the numbers I study have no deadline, and give me plenty of time for reflection, moments of gazing off into the distance and just letting thoughts run. Today, for example, I’m troubled about what we know about the age of the galaxy. If daydreaming sounds abstract, consider that this is an issue that has a bearing on our own standing in the cosmos. We have a pretty good read on the age of the Earth, and can peg it at around 4.5 billion years. Various sources tell me the Big Bang occurred some 13.8 billion years ago, with the formation of the Milky Way beginning not terribly long thereafter. Let’s say for the sake of argument...
Biology on a Rogue Planet’s Moon?
I don’t write science fiction, but I have several friends who think I do simply because I write about distant planets and futuristic ways to reach them. The boundary between SF and science has always fascinated me. I like to poke around in old magazines, most of them from the science fiction field, but a particular interest is magazines like Hugo Gernsback’s Science and Invention and Radio News, early 20th Century venues for fiction that dealt with science and preceded 1926’s Amazing Stories. Astronomy and fiction have been mingling for a long time, but as we uncover startling exoplanets and posit theories that explain them, I’m usually wondering how quickly an SF writer will pick up on the latest work with a stunning new setting. Today’s paper offers another opportunity, as it presents the possibility that ‘rogue’ planets, wandering in the interstellar dark without a warming Sun, may support biology not on their surfaces but on any potential moons. Image: Artist’s rendition of a...
Starshot Is a Success (Part II)
The second part of Jim Benford's examination of Breakthrough Starshot concludes our look at the numerous issues advanced by Phase I of the project. Largely discounted in recent press coverage, the Starshot effort in fact completed a successful Phase I and left behind numerous papers that illuminate the path forward for interstellar flight. This is solid work on everything from laser arrays to metamaterials and the engineering of data return at light-year distances. Read on. by James Benford “I have learned to use the word ‘impossible’ with great caution.” -- Wernher Von Braun, after the lunar landing In this second report, I will describe the major results of Starshot beginning with the mission scenario and then treating each major technical area in terms of how solutions have been resolved and issues retired. In Part 1, I described Phase 1 objectives. One of the causes of Starshot results not being well-known publicly is that the Breakthrough Foundation has not publicized its events...
Starshot Is a Success: Part I
The fortunes of Breakthrough Starshot have been the subject of so much discussion not only in comments in these pages but in backchannel emails that it is with relief that I turn to Jim Benford's analysis of a project that has done significant work on interstellar travel and is still very much alive. Jim led the sail team for several of his eight years with Breakthrough Starshot and was with the project from the beginning. In this article and a second that will run in a few days, he explains how and why press coverage of the effort has been erroneous, and not always through the fault of writers working the story. Let's now take a look at what Starshot has accomplished during its intensive Phase I. by James Benford "Make no mistake -- interstellar travel will always be difficult and expensive, but it can no longer be considered impossible." – Robert Forward Breakthrough Starshot has not failed, nor has it been canceled. Phase I of the program achieved its stated objectives: to...
The Language of Contact
How we think intersects with the language we think in. Consider the verb in classical Greek, a linguistic tool so complex that it surely allows shadings of thought that are the stuff of finely tuned philosophy. But are the thoughts in our texts genuinely capable of translation? Every now and then I get a glimpse of something integral that just can’t come across in another tongue. Back in college (and this was a long time ago), I struggled with Greek from the age of Herodotus and then, in the following semester, moved into Homer, whose language was from maybe 300 years earlier. The Odyssey, our text for that semester, is loaded with repetitive phrases – called Homeric epithets – that are memory anchors for the performance of these epics, which were delivered before large crowds by rhapsōdoi ("song-stitchers"). I was never all that great in Homeric Greek, but I do remember getting so familiar with these ‘anchors’ that I was able now and then to read a sequence of five or six lines...
Propulsion Options for the Solar Gravitational Lens Mission
A mission to the Sun’s gravity focus – or more precisely, the focal ‘line’ we might begin to use at around 650 AU – is never far from my mind. Any interstellar mission we might launch within the next thirty years or so (think Breakthrough Starshot, about which more next week) will essentially be shooting blind. We have little idea what to expect at Proxima Centauri b, if that is our (logical) target. But a mission to the solar gravity focus (SGL) would give us a chance to examine any prospective target at close hand. Indeed, so powerful are the effects if we can exploit this opportunity that we should be able to see continents, weather patterns, oceans and more if we can disentangle the Einstein Ring that the planet’s image forms as shaped by general relativity. We’ve discussed the phenomenon many a time: The Sun’s gravitational well so shapes the image of what is directly behind it as seen from the SGL so as to produce stupendous magnification, the image served up as a ‘ring’ around...
A Relativistic Explanation for the Dearth of Circumbinary Planets
Planets orbiting two stars have been found, but not all that many of them. We’re talking here about a planet that orbits both stars of a close binary system, and thus far, although we’ve confirmed over 6,000 exoplanets, we’ve only found 14 of them in this configuration. Circumbinary planets are odd enough to make us question what it is we don’t know about their formation and evolution that accounts for this. Now a paper from researchers at UC-Berkeley and the American University of Beirut probes a mechanism Einstein would love. At play here are relativistic effects, having to do with the fact that, as Einstein explained, intense gravitational fields have detectable effects upon the stars’ orbits. This is hardly news, as it was the precession of Mercury in the sky that General Relativity first predicted. The planet’s orbit could be seen to precess (shift) by 43 arcseconds per century more than was expected by Newtonian mechanics. Einstein showed in 1915 that spacetime curvature could...
A New Tool for Exoplanet Detection and Characterization
It’s been apparent for a long time that far more astronomical data exist than anyone has had time to examine thoroughly. That’s a reassuring thought, given the uses to which we can put these resources. Ponder such programs as Digital Access to a Sky Century at Harvard (DASCH), which draws on a trove of over half a million glass photographic plates dating back to 1885. The First and Second Palomar Sky Surveys (POSS-1 and POSS-2) go back to 1949 and are now part of the Digitized Sky Survey, which has digitized the original photographic plates. The Zwicky Transient Facility, incidentally, uses the same 48-inch Samuel Oschin Schmidt Telescope at Palomar that produced the original DSS data. There is, in short, plenty of archival material to work with for whatever purposes astronomers want to pursue. You may remember our lengthy discussion of the unusual star KIC 8462852 (Boyajian’s Star), in which data from DASCH were used to explore the dimming of the star over time, the source of...
Holography: Shaping a Diffractive Sail
One result of the Breakthrough Starshot effort has been an intense examination of sail stability under a laser beam. The issue is critical, for a small sail under a powerful beam for only a few minutes must not only survive the acceleration but follow a precise trajectory. As Greg Matloff explains in the essay below, holography used in conjunction with a diffractive sail (one that diffracts light waves through optical structures like microscopic gratings or metamaterials) can allow a flat sail to operate like a curved or even round one. I’ll have more on this in terms of the numerous sail papers that Starshot has spawned soon. For today, Greg explains how what had begun as an attempt to harness holography for messaging on a deep space probe can also become a key to flight operations. The Alpha Cubesat now in orbit is an early test of these concepts. The author of The Starflight Handbook among many other books (volumes whose pages have often been graced by the artwork of the gifted C...
Shelter from the Storm
The approaching storm will almost certainly cause power outages that will make it impossible to post here. If this occurs, you can be sure that I'll get any incoming messages posted as soon as I can get back online. Please continue to post comments as usual and let's cross our fingers that the storm is less dangerous than it appears.
Cellular Cosmic Isolation: When the Universe Seeds Life but Civilizations Stay Silent
So many answers to the Fermi question have been offered that we have a veritable bestiary of solutions, each trying to explain why we have yet to encounter extraterrestrials. I like Leo Szilard’s answer the best: “They are among us, and we call them Hungarians.” That one has a pedigree that I’ll explore in a future post (and remember that Szilard was himself Hungarian). But given our paucity of data, what can we make of Fermi’s question in the light of the latest exoplanet findings? Eduardo Carmona today explores with admirable clarity a low-drama but plausible scenario. Eduardo teaches film and digital media at Loyola Marymount University and California State University Dominguez Hills. His work explores the intersection of scientific concepts and cinematic storytelling. This essay is adapted from a longer treatment that will form the conceptual basis for a science fiction film currently in development. Contact Information: Email: eduardo.carmona@lmu.edu by Eduardo Carmona MFA In...
Pandora: Exoplanets at Multiple Wavelengths
Sometimes we forget how overloaded our observatories are, both in space and on the ground. Why not, for example, use the James Webb Space Telescope to dig even further into TRAPPIST-1’s seven planets, or examine that most tantalizing Earth-mass planet around Proxima Centauri? Myriad targets suggest themselves for an instrument like this. The problem is that priceless assets like JWST not only have other observational goals, but more tellingly, any space telescope is overbooked by scientists with approved observing programs. Add to this the problem of potentially misleading noise in our data. Thus the significance of Pandora, lofted into orbit via a SpaceX Falcon 9 on January 11, and now successful in returning robust signals to mission controllers. One way to take the heat off overburdened instruments is to create much smaller, highly specialized spacecraft that can serve as valuable adjuncts. With Pandora we have a platform that will monitor a host star in visible light while also...
Explaining Cloud-9: A Celestial Object Like No Other
Some three years ago, the Five-Hundred Meter Aperture Spherical Telescope (FAST) in Guizhou, China discovered a gas agglomeration that was later dubbed Cloud-9. It’s a cute name, though unintentionally so, as this particular cloud is simply the ninth thus far identified near the spiral galaxy Messier 94 (M94). And while gas clouds don’t particularly call attention to themselves, this one is a bit of a stunner, as later research is now showing. It’s thought to be a gas-rich though starless cloud of dark matter, a holdover from early galaxy formation. Scientists are referring to Cloud-9 as a new type of astronomical object. FAST’s detection at radio wavelengths has been confirmed by the Green Bank Telescope and the Very Large Array in the United States. The cloud has now been studied by the Hubble telescope’s Advanced Camera for Surveys, which revealed its complete lack of stars. That makes this an unusual object indeed. Alejandro Benitez-Llambay (Milano-Bicocca University, Milan) is...
Astrobiology: What Our Planet Can Teach Us
Will 2026 be the year we detect life elsewhere in the universe? The odds seem against it, barring a spectacular find on Mars or an even more spectacular SETI detection that leaves no doubt of its nature. Otherwise, this new year will continue to see us refining large telescopes, working on next generation space observatories, and tuning up our methods for biosignature detection. All necessary work if we are to find life, but no guarantee of future success. It is, let’s face it, frustrating for those of us with a science fictional bent to consider that all we have to go on is our own planet when it comes to life. We are sometimes reminded that an infinite number of lines can pass through a single point. And yes, it’s true that the raw materials of life seem plentiful in the cosmos, leading to the idea that living planets are everywhere. But we lack evidence. We have exactly that one data point – life as we know it on our own planet – and every theory, every line we run through it is...
Building a Library of Science Fiction Film Criticism
Back in the days when VCR tapes were how we watched movies at home, I took my youngest son over to the nearby Blockbuster to cruise for videos. He was a science fiction fan and tuned into both the Star Trek and Star Wars franchises, equally available at the store. But as he browsed, I was delighted to find a section of 1950s era SF movies. I hadn’t realized until then how many older films were now making it onto VCR, and here I found more than a few old friends. Films of the black and white era have always been a passion for me, and not just science fiction movies. While the great dramas of the 1930s and 40s outshone 1950s SF films, the latter brought the elements of awe and wonder to the fore in ways that mysteries and domestic dramas could not. The experience was just of an entirely different order, and the excitement always lingered. Here in the store I was finding This Island Earth, The Conquest of Space, Earth vs. The Flying Saucers, Forbidden Planet, Rocketship X-M and The Day...
New Uses for the Eschaton
One way to examine problems with huge unknowns – SETI is a classic example – is through the construction of a so-called ‘toy model.’ I linger a moment on the term because I want to purge the notion that it infers a lightweight conclusion. A toy model simplifies details to look for the big picture. It can be a useful analytical tool, a way of screening out some of the complexities in order to focus on core issues. And yes, it’s theoretical and idealized, not predictive. But sometimes a toy model offers approaches we might otherwise miss. Consider how many variables we have to work with in SETI. What kind of signaling strategy would an extraterrestrial civilization choose? What sort of timeframe would it operate under? What cultural values determine its behavior? What is its intent? You can see how long this list can become. I’ll stop here. The toy model I want to focus on today is one David Kipping uses in a new paper called “The Eschatian Hypothesis.” The term refers to what we might...
A ‘Tatooine’ Planet Directly Imaged
I jump at the chance to see actual images – as opposed to light curves – of exoplanets. Thus recent news of a Tatooine-style planetary orbit around twin stars, and what is as far as I know the first actually imaged planet in this orbital configuration. I’m reminded not for the first time of the virtues of the Gemini Planet Imager, so deft at masking starlight to catch a few photons from a young planet. Youth is always a virtue when it comes to this kind of thing, because young planets are still hot and hence more visible in the infrared. The Gemini instrument is a multitasker, using adaptive optics as well as a coronagraph to work this magic. The new image comes out of an interesting exercise, which is to revisit older GPI data (2016-2019) at a time when the instrument is being upgraded and in the process of being moved to Hawaii from Chile, for installation on the Gemini North telescope on Mauna Kea. This reconsideration picked out something that had been missed. Cross-referencing...
Catching Up with TRAPPIST-1
Let’s have a look at recent work on TRAPPIST-1. The system, tiny but rich in planets (seven transits!) continues to draw new work, and it’s easy to see why. Found in Aquarius some 40 light years from Earth, a star not much larger than Jupiter is close enough for the James Webb Space Telescope to probe the system for planetary atmospheres. Or so an international team working on the problem believes, with interesting but frustratingly inconclusive results. As we’ll see, though, that’s the nature of this work, and in general of investigations of terrestrial-class planet atmospheres. I begin with news of TRAPPIST-1’s flare activity. One of the reasons to question the likelihood of life around small red stars is that they are prone to violent flares, particularly in their youth. Planets in the habitable zone, and there are three here, would be bathed in radiation early on, conceivably stripping their atmospheres entirely, and certainly raising doubts about potential life on the surface....
The Rest is Silence: Empirically Equivalent Hypotheses about the Universe
Because we so often talk about finding an Earth 2.0, I'm reminded that the discipline of astrobiology all too easily falls prey to an earthly assumption: Intelligent beings elsewhere must take forms compatible with our planet. Thus the recent post on SETI and fireflies, one I enjoyed writing because it explores how communications work amongst non-human species here on Earth. Learning about such methods may lessen whatever anthropomorphic bias SETI retains. But these thoughts also emphasize that we continue to search in the dark. It's a natural question to ask just where SETI goes from here. What happens if in all our work, we continue to confront silence? I’ve been asked before what a null result in SETI means – how long do we have to keep doing this before we simply acknowledge that there is no one out there? But a better question is, how would we ever discover a definitive answer given the scale of the cosmos? If not in this galaxy, maybe in Andromeda? If not there, M87? In today’s...
The Firefly and the Pulsar
We’ve now had humans in space for 25 continuous years, a feat that made the news last week and one that must have caused a few toasts to be made aboard the International Space Station. This is a marker of sorts, and we’ll have to see how long it will continue, but the notion of a human presence in orbit will gradually seem to be as normal as a permanent presence in, say, Antarctica. But what a short time 25 years is when weighed against our larger ambitions, which now take in Mars and will continue to expand as our technologies evolve. We’ve yet to claim even a century of space exploration, what with Gagarin’s flight occurring only 65 years ago, and all of this calls to mind how cautiously we should frame our assumptions about civilizations that may be far older than ourselves. We don’t know how such species would develop, but it’s chastening to realize that when SETI began, it was utterly natural to look for radio signals, given how fast they travel and how ubiquitous they were on...

